Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TDAY

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USA TODAY Co. Inc. (TDAY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.19 -3.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.14

USA TODAY Co. Inc. (TDAY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $908.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.14 (-0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDAY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TDAY SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.82+2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.97-1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.86-9.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$6.19-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TDAY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TDAY currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.62) and Max Pain ($6.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDAY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TDAY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

34.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE

L: $4$6.19H: $9

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TDAY

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

1.1% ROIC with 38.7% gross margin and 6.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (42)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TDAY

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TDAY)

✓Walkthrough of TDAY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TDAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $6.12H $6.22L $5.97C $6.19VOL 2.92M

RES: $10.59SUP: $5.02SMA50: $6.62SMA200: $7.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDAY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TDAY Butterfly Map → + Track TDAY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDAY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDAY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDAY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDAY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #730 of 1011 ⚔️ DJCO vs TDAY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TDAY vs. DJCO, LEE, NYT, NWSA)

Industry: Newspapers/Magazines (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, USA TODAY Co. Inc. (TDAY) ranks #730 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #524 by equity capitalization ($908.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DJCO leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while NWSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. NYT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with TDAY at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TDAY ACTIVE USA TODAY Co. Inc.	D	46/100	—	38.7%	1.1%	-3.13%	$908.8M	Benchmark Subject
DJCO Daily Journal Corp. (S.C.)	D+	57/100	7.7x	—	2.1%	+2.62%	$866.3M	/djco-vs-tday →
LEE Lee Enterprises Incorporated	D-	36/100	—	—	-0.9%	-2.81%	$138.7M	/lee-vs-tday →
NYT New York Times Company	B	72/100	32.4x	—	14.3%	+0.35%	$11.14B	/nyt-vs-tday →
NWSA News Corporation (Class A)	B-	70/100	11.9x	—	14.9%	+0.48%	$15.92B	/nwsa-vs-tday →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001579684

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), USA TODAY Co. Inc. (TDAY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.30B (-8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -13.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.7M, operating cash flow of $114.4M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+23.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDAY closed FY2025 with $1.84B in total assets against $884.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.30B	$1.7M	$114.4M	$62.9M	$1.84B	$884.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.51B	-$26.4M	$100.3M	$50.8M	$2.04B	$1.01B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.66B	-$27.8M	$94.6M	$94.6M	—	—

3. TDAY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, USA TODAY Co. Inc. (NYSE: TDAY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $6.19 (-3.13% 1D, market cap $908.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDAY ranks #730 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TDAY compare to DJCO and LEE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Newspapers/Magazines), TDAY carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.7%, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, DJCO (Daily Journal Corp. (S.C.)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $866.3M) and LEE (Lee Enterprises Incorporated) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $138.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DJCO leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while NWSA leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDAY?

Per TDAY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001579684), USA TODAY Co. Inc. generated $2.30B in revenue (-8.3% YoY), $1.7M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $1.84B in total assets and $884.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TDAY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDAY last traded at $6.19 (-3.13% on volume of 4,057,645 shares), positioning the stock -6.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.62) and -12.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.06). Across its 52-week range of $4.33 to $9.21, TDAY sits at the 38.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($5.66 to $6.72).

TDAY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TDAY stock right now?

USA TODAY Co. Inc. (TDAY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 46/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TDAY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TDAY's 12-month base price target is $5.86 (range $4.57 to $9.67), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TDAY RQD Cockpit TDAY 12M Forecast TDAY Earnings & Move TDAY Dividends & DRIP TDAY Insiders & 13F TDAY Whale Options TDAY Profit Sankey TDAY News & Why