MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 3d ago
Swarmer, Inc (SWMR) M&A Call TranscriptSwarmer, Inc (SWMR) M&A Call October 29, 2026 8:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsAdam CozangiAlexander Fink - President, CEO of U.S.
Why SWMR Stock surged +12.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.46 +12.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.68
Swarmer Inc (SWMR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $167.4M
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Is SWMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Swarmer Inc (NASDAQ: SWMR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.46 (+12.84% 1D, market cap $167.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
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How does SWMR compare to DH and AEYE in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SWMR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DH (Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $162.4M) and AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWMR?
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Per SWMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092574), Swarmer Inc generated $309.9K in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$8.5M in net income, and -$4.9M in free cash flow against $10.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.68 (+2.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWMR SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.8% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$12.13-26.4% Next Q
34
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$8.93+1.6% Next Q
31
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$9.07+15.3% Next Q
29
CurrentGrade E$10.46-10.5% Hist 90D α
26
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SWMR Turnaround Squeeze
While SWMR currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.81) and Max Pain ($10.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $87.47.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWMR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWMR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SWMR Stock surged +12.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Swarmer Inc (SWMR) surged +12.84% to $10.46, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($8.26 – $83.3). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($8.26 – $83.3) with RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $10.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: SWMR Exhibits 6.00x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B
Live SWMR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Swarmer Targets Ground Drone Expansion With Ratel Robotics AcquisitionSwarmer (NASDAQ:SWMR) outlined its proposed acquisition of Ukrainian unmanned ground vehicle manufacturer Ratel Robotics, saying the combination would expand its defense technology capabilities across aerial and ground-b
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
An Investor's Guide To Fighter JetsRISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Swarmer Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Results and Business UpdatesAUSTIN, Texas, October 28, 2026--Swarmer, Inc ("Swarmer") (Nasdaq: SWMR), a drone autonomy software company which has supported more than 100,000 real-world combat missions in Ukraine since April 2024, will hold a confer
RISK WATCHYahoo • 5d ago
Swarmer Signs Agreement to Acquire Certain Intellectual Property of Vataga Drone, Plans to Add Their Engineering TeamAUSTIN, Texas, October 27, 2026--Swarmer, Inc ("Swarmer") (NASDAQ: SWMR), a drone autonomy platform company that has supported more than 100,000 real-world combat missions in Ukraine since April 2024, today announced it
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 6d ago
Swarmer Inks Deal To Acquire Certain Intellectual Property Of Ukraine-Based Vataga Drone; Financial Terms Not DisclosedSwarmer, Inc ("Swarmer") (NASDAQ: SWMR), a drone autonomy platform company that has supported more than 100,000 real-world combat missions in Ukraine since April 2024, today announced it has signed an agreement
RISK WATCHYahoo • 6d ago
Swarmer to Host Investor Call to Discuss Acquisition of Ratel RoboticsAUSTIN, Texas, October 26, 2026--Swarmer, Inc ("Swarmer") (NASDAQ: SWMR), a drone autonomy platform company which has supported more than 100,000 real-world combat missions in Ukraine since April 2024, today announced it
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWMR)
- ✓Walkthrough of SWMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SWMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.87%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $9.27H $10.46L $9.27C $10.46VOL 859.4K
RES: $18.53SUP: $7.48SMA50: $20.81SMA200: $35.28
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SWMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWMR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWMR)
Technology Rank #658 of 714
⚔️ DH vs SWMR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SWMR vs. DH, AEYE, PDYN, ZENA)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Swarmer Inc (SWMR) ranks #658 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #494 by equity capitalization ($167.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDYN leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while AEYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.1% ROIC and 78.3% gross margin. DH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SWMR at 26/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWMR
ACTIVE
Swarmer Inc | E | 26/100 | — | 41.2% | -35.0% | +12.84% | $167.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| DH Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | 75.9% | -35.0% | -1.75% | $162.4M | /dh-vs-swmr → |
| AEYE AudioEye Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | 78.3% | -12.1% | +18.26% | $179.1M | /aeye-vs-swmr → |
| PDYN Palladyne AI Corp. | E | 15/100 | 18.1x | — | -35.0% | -6.83% | $181.6M | /pdyn-vs-swmr → |
| ZENA ZenaTech Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -0.05% | $185.8M | /zena-vs-swmr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002092574In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Swarmer Inc (SWMR) reported GAAP revenue of $309.9K (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $329.4K ) , GAAP net income of -$8.5M, operating cash flow of -$4.6M, and free cash flow of -$4.9M (-361.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWMR closed FY2025 with $10.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $309.9K | -$8.5M | -$4.6M | -$4.9M | $10.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $329.4K | -$2.1M | -$1.0M | -$1.1M | $2.1M | — |
3. SWMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SWMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Swarmer Inc (NASDAQ: SWMR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.46 (+12.84% 1D, market cap $167.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does SWMR compare to DH and AEYE in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SWMR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DH (Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $162.4M) and AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWMR?
Per SWMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092574), Swarmer Inc generated $309.9K in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$8.5M in net income, and -$4.9M in free cash flow against $10.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SWMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SWMR last traded at $10.46 (+12.84% on volume of 859,416 shares), positioning the stock -49.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.81) and -70.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.28). Across its 52-week range of $8.26 to $83.30, SWMR sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.15 to $11.77).
SWMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SWMR stock moving today?
Why SWMR Stock surged +12.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.