Swarmer Inc (SWMR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$10.46 +12.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.68

Swarmer Inc (SWMR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $167.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SWMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Swarmer Inc (NASDAQ: SWMR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.46 (+12.84% 1D, market cap $167.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SWMR compare to DH and AEYE in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SWMR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DH (Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $162.4M) and AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWMR?
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Per SWMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092574), Swarmer Inc generated $309.9K in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$8.5M in net income, and -$4.9M in free cash flow against $10.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.68 (+2.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$87 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE SWMR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWMR SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 12.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$12.13-26.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$8.93+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$9.07+15.3% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$10.46-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SWMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SWMR currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.81) and Max Pain ($10.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $87.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWMR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWMR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.31 Expected Swing
$9.15 (-12.5%)Spot $10.46$11.77 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SWMR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 26/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5.9%

Model Bullish Setup (26/100)Model Risk Weight (74/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$309.9K-$8.5M-$4.9M41.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$329.4K-$2.1M-$1.1M43%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWMR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SWMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SWMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -68.87%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $9.27H $10.46L $9.27C $10.46VOL 859.4K
RES: $18.53SUP: $7.48SMA50: $20.81SMA200: $35.28
$88.55$66.79$45.03$23.27$1.51RES $18.53SUP $7.48$10.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWMR)

Technology Rank #658 of 714 ⚔️ DH vs SWMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SWMR vs. DH, AEYE, PDYN, ZENA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Swarmer Inc (SWMR) ranks #658 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #494 by equity capitalization ($167.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PDYN leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while AEYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.1% ROIC and 78.3% gross margin. DH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SWMR at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SWMR ACTIVE
Swarmer Inc
E 26/100 — 41.2% -35.0% +12.84% $167.4M Benchmark Subject
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A)
D 48/100 — 75.9% -35.0% -1.75% $162.4M /dh-vs-swmr →
AEYE
AudioEye Inc.
D 46/100 — 78.3% -12.1% +18.26% $179.1M /aeye-vs-swmr →
PDYN
Palladyne AI Corp.
E 15/100 18.1x — -35.0% -6.83% $181.6M /pdyn-vs-swmr →
ZENA
ZenaTech Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -0.05% $185.8M /zena-vs-swmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002092574

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Swarmer Inc (SWMR) reported GAAP revenue of $309.9K (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $329.4K ) , GAAP net income of -$8.5M, operating cash flow of -$4.6M, and free cash flow of -$4.9M (-361.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWMR closed FY2025 with $10.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $309.9K -$8.5M -$4.6M -$4.9M $10.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $329.4K -$2.1M -$1.0M -$1.1M $2.1M —

3. SWMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Swarmer Inc (NASDAQ: SWMR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $10.46 (+12.84% 1D, market cap $167.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SWMR compare to DH and AEYE in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SWMR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 41.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DH (Definitive Healthcare Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $162.4M) and AEYE (AudioEye Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PDYN leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while AEYE leads on capital efficiency (-12.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWMR?

Per SWMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092574), Swarmer Inc generated $309.9K in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$8.5M in net income, and -$4.9M in free cash flow against $10.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWMR last traded at $10.46 (+12.84% on volume of 859,416 shares), positioning the stock -49.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.81) and -70.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.28). Across its 52-week range of $8.26 to $83.30, SWMR sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.15 to $11.77).

SWMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SWMR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Swarmer Inc (SWMR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SWMR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SWMR, spanning a range between $9.15 and $11.77.

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