CEO Penn reveals pivot to AI-based marketing transformation software driving record results.
Why STGW Stock surged +12.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why STGW Stock surged +12.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) surged +12.68% to $9.95, trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($4.29 – $10.61). Solid 37% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 79x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($4.29 – $10.61) with RSI-14 at 75.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $9.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 36.5% gross margin and $247.3M annual free cash flow.
Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett maintains Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $10 to $13.
Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall maintains Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $10 to $12.
B. Riley Securities analyst Jeff Van Sinderen reiterates Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $10 to $12.
Needham analyst Laura Martin maintains Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $10 to $12.
Key TakeawaysStagwell (STGW:NASDAQ) shares jumped 13% on Thursday after record third-quarter results and a higher full-year profit outlook, then gave back about 3% after hours. Digital Transformation grew 23% organically
Stagwell just dropped its Q3 2026 numbers and the stock exploded 12.7% higher to US$9.95 by the close. Traders are cheering a record quarter that featured US$816.0m in revenue and a clear swing back to positive earnings
Stagwell (NASDAQ:STGW) reported record third-quarter revenue, net revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share, as the marketing company emphasized its expansion into AI-based marketing transformation softwar
Stagwell Inc. (STGW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 29, 2026 8:30 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsBen Allanson - Director of Investor RelationsMark Penn - Chairman...
Stagwell Q3 2026: adjusted EPS beat, revenue slightly missed, AI-driven units grew fast, and full-year adjusted EBITDA/EPS guidance was raised.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STGW Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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STGW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STGW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STGW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STGW)
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (STGW vs. IBTA, WPP, MNTN, CRTO)
Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) ranks #36 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #55 by equity capitalization ($2.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRTO leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while MNTN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.9% ROIC and 77.2% gross margin. MNTN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with STGW at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STGW
ACTIVE
Stagwell Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | 79.4x | 36.5% | 6.3% | +12.68% | $2.43B | Benchmark Subject |
| IBTA Ibotta Inc. (Class A) | C | 63/100 | — | 79.2% | -0.7% | +2.00% | $1.14B | /ibta-vs-stgw → |
| WPP WPP plc | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | +4.61% | $5.82B | /wpp-vs-stgw → |
| MNTN MNTN Inc. (Class A) | B | 75/100 | — | 77.2% | 19.9% | +1.65% | $736.1M | /mntn-vs-stgw → |
| CRTO Criteo S.A. | C+ | 69/100 | 4.9x | 54.0% | 19.8% | +2.97% | $729.6M | /crto-vs-stgw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000876883In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (STGW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.84B , and +15.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.6M, operating cash flow of $291.0M, and free cash flow of $247.3M (+99.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, STGW closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.16, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.91B | $30.6M | $291.0M | $247.3M | $4.21B | $1.33B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.84B | $25.0M | $142.9M | $123.9M | $3.91B | $1.35B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.53B | $41.6M | $81.0M | $81.0M | — | — |
3. STGW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs STGW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Stagwell Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: STGW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $9.95 (+12.68% 1D, market cap $2.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, STGW ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.
How does STGW compare to IBTA and WPP in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), STGW carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 79.4x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, IBTA (Ibotta Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.14B) and WPP (WPP plc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRTO leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while MNTN leads on capital efficiency (19.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STGW?
Per STGW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000876883), Stagwell Inc. (Class A) generated $2.91B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $30.6M in net income, and $247.3M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 79x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is STGW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
STGW last traded at $9.95 (+12.68% on volume of 4,431,005 shares), positioning the stock +14.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.72) and +38.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.18). Across its 52-week range of $4.29 to $10.61, STGW sits at the 89.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 75.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($8.90 to $11.00).
STGW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is STGW stock moving today?
Why STGW Stock surged +12.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 37% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 79x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.