Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (+0.91% 1D, market cap $105.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRFM ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), SRFM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $130.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SRFM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).
Per SRFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001936224), Surf Air Mobility Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$110.6M in net income, and -$70.1M in free cash flow against $131.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While SRFM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.80) and Max Pain ($0.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.25.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) advanced +0.91% to $0.79, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($0.46 – $4.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Air Canada (ACDVF) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +42.11% and +2.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
LOS ANGELES, October 29, 2026--Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) ("Surf Air Mobility" or "the Company") today provided an update on recent achievements and priorities for SurfOS, the Company’s AI-enabled software opera
LOS ANGELES, October 23, 2026--Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM), a leading air mobility platform, today announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on Thursday, November
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRFM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRFM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) ranks #590 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #753 by equity capitalization ($105.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SRFM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SRFM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRFM
ACTIVE
Surf Air Mobility Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.91% | $105.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| UP Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A) | E | 27/100 | — | 10.0% | -35.0% | +3.91% | $115.7M | /up-vs-srfm → |
| FLYX flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) | E | 29/100 | — | 15.0% | -35.0% | 0.00% | $130.0M | /flyx-vs-srfm → |
| PAL Proficient Auto Logistics Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -11.6% | -2.02% | $67.9M | /pal-vs-srfm → |
| YTRA Yatra Online Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -9.13% | $52.9M | /ytra-vs-srfm → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$110.6M, operating cash flow of -$64.2M, and free cash flow of -$70.1M (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRFM closed FY2025 with $131.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$110.6M | -$64.2M | -$70.1M | $131.7M | $14.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$74.9M | -$54.3M | -$66.1M | $124.1M | $59.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$250.7M | -$64.4M | -$64.4M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (+0.91% 1D, market cap $105.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRFM ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), SRFM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $130.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SRFM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).
Per SRFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001936224), Surf Air Mobility Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$110.6M in net income, and -$70.1M in free cash flow against $131.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SRFM last traded at $0.79 (+0.91% on volume of 1,083,895 shares), positioning the stock -1.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.80) and -34.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.20). Across its 52-week range of $0.46 to $4.05, SRFM sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).
Why SRFM Stock advanced +0.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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