Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SRFM / insiders

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Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.79 +0.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79

Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $105.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79 (-0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SRFM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SRFM SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$0.95-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$0.88-12.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$0.77+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$0.79-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SRFM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SRFM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.80) and Max Pain ($0.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SRFM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SRFM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SRFM Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SRFM)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SRFM. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SRFM)

✓Walkthrough of SRFM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SRFM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.76H $0.79L $0.72C $0.79VOL 1.19M

RES: $1.34SUP: $0.30SMA50: $0.80SMA200: $1.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SRFM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SRFM Butterfly Map → + Track SRFM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SRFM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SRFM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SRFM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SRFM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #590 of 1011 ⚔️ UP vs SRFM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SRFM vs. UP, FLYX, PAL, YTRA)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) ranks #590 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #753 by equity capitalization ($105.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SRFM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SRFM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SRFM ACTIVE Surf Air Mobility Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	-35.0%	+0.91%	$105.1M	Benchmark Subject
UP Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	10.0%	-35.0%	+3.91%	$115.7M	/up-vs-srfm →
FLYX flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	15.0%	-35.0%	0.00%	$130.0M	/flyx-vs-srfm →
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-11.6%	-2.02%	$67.9M	/pal-vs-srfm →
YTRA Yatra Online Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-9.13%	$52.9M	/ytra-vs-srfm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001936224

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$110.6M, operating cash flow of -$64.2M, and free cash flow of -$70.1M (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SRFM closed FY2025 with $131.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$110.6M	-$64.2M	-$70.1M	$131.7M	$14.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$74.9M	-$54.3M	-$66.1M	$124.1M	$59.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$250.7M	-$64.4M	-$64.4M	—	—

3. SRFM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SRFM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (+0.91% 1D, market cap $105.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SRFM ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SRFM compare to UP and FLYX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), SRFM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $130.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SRFM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SRFM?

Per SRFM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001936224), Surf Air Mobility Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$110.6M in net income, and -$70.1M in free cash flow against $131.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SRFM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SRFM last traded at $0.79 (+0.91% on volume of 1,083,895 shares), positioning the stock -1.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.80) and -34.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.20). Across its 52-week range of $0.46 to $4.05, SRFM sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).

SRFM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are SRFM insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SRFM leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: SRFM RQD Cockpit SRFM 12M Forecast SRFM Earnings & Move SRFM Dividends & DRIP SRFM Insiders & 13F SRFM Whale Options SRFM Profit Sankey SRFM News & Why