Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.07 -0.93% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $41.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SPWH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPWH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SPWH SCORES 42/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 3% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$1.10-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$1.05+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$1.07+0% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.07-7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D- (42)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPWH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SPWH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.15) and Max Pain ($1.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPWHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSPWH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SPWH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SPWH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SPWH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPWH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SPWH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SPWH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.11%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.07H $1.07L $1.04C $1.07VOL 94.9K
RES: $1.33SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.15SMA200: $1.27
$2.19$1.87$1.56$1.25$0.93RES $1.33SUP $1.02$1.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPWH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPWH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPWH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPWH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPWH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #796 of 1011 βš”οΈ WSHP vs SPWH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPWH vs. WSHP, PEW, NAAS, BARK)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) ranks #796 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #831 by equity capitalization ($41.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPWH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.8% ROIC and 30.9% gross margin. NAAS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SPWH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPWH ACTIVE
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 30.9% -12.8% -0.93% $41.9M Benchmark Subject
WSHP
WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.05% $57.9M /wshp-vs-spwh β†’
PEW
GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 11.7% -35.0% 0.00% $58.7M /pew-vs-spwh β†’
NAAS
NaaS Technology Inc.
C 63/100 β€” β€” β€” +14.39% $59.6M /naas-vs-spwh β†’
BARK
BARK Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 61.3% -35.0% 0.00% $73.4M /bark-vs-spwh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001132105

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$50.1M, operating cash flow of $31.3M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (-54.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPWH closed FY2025 with $762.6M in total assets against $44.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.21B -$50.1M $31.3M $8.9M $762.6M $44.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $1.20B -$33.1M $34.1M $19.6M $852.1M $24.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $1.29B -$29.0M $52.3M $52.3M β€” β€”

3. SPWH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPWH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SPWH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.07 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $41.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPWH ranks #796 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPWH compare to WSHP and PEW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPWH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $57.9M) and PEW (GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPWH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPWH?

Per SPWH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001132105), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$50.1M in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $762.6M in total assets and $44.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPWH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPWH last traded at $1.07 (-0.93% on volume of 388,253 shares), positioning the stock -6.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.15) and -15.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $2.56, SPWH sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($1.00 to $1.16).

SPWH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are SPWH insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SPWH leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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