Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SPWH / earnings

WSHP (49) PEW (39) NAAS (63) BARK (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.3% Move

$1.07 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPWH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SPWH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.10-4.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.05+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.07+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.07-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPWH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SPWH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.15) and Max Pain ($1.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPWH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SPWH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.3% Swing Band

±$0.09 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SPWH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$1.21B	-$50.1M	$8.9M	30.9%
FY 2024	2025-02-01	$1.20B	-$33.1M	$19.6M	30.9%
FY 2023	2024-02-03	$1.29B	-$29.0M	$52.3M	30.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPWH)

✓Walkthrough of SPWH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SPWH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.07H $1.07L $1.04C $1.07VOL 94.9K

RES: $1.33SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.15SMA200: $1.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPWH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPWH Butterfly Map → + Track SPWH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPWH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPWH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPWH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPWH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #796 of 1011 ⚔️ WSHP vs SPWH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPWH vs. WSHP, PEW, NAAS, BARK)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) ranks #796 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #831 by equity capitalization ($41.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPWH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SPWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.8% ROIC and 30.9% gross margin. NAAS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SPWH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SPWH ACTIVE Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	30.9%	-12.8%	-0.93%	$41.9M	Benchmark Subject
WSHP WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	—	-2.05%	$57.9M	/wshp-vs-spwh →
PEW GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.	D-	39/100	—	11.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$58.7M	/pew-vs-spwh →
NAAS NaaS Technology Inc.	C	63/100	—	—	—	+14.39%	$59.6M	/naas-vs-spwh →
BARK BARK Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	61.3%	-35.0%	0.00%	$73.4M	/bark-vs-spwh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001132105

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$50.1M, operating cash flow of $31.3M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (-54.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPWH closed FY2025 with $762.6M in total assets against $44.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$1.21B	-$50.1M	$31.3M	$8.9M	$762.6M	$44.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$1.20B	-$33.1M	$34.1M	$19.6M	$852.1M	$24.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$1.29B	-$29.0M	$52.3M	$52.3M	—	—

3. SPWH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPWH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SPWH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.07 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $41.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPWH ranks #796 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPWH compare to WSHP and PEW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SPWH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.9%, and ROIC of -12.8%. By comparison, WSHP (WeShop Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $57.9M) and PEW (GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPWH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SPWH leads on capital efficiency (-12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPWH?

Per SPWH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001132105), Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$50.1M in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $762.6M in total assets and $44.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPWH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPWH last traded at $1.07 (-0.93% on volume of 388,253 shares), positioning the stock -6.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.15) and -15.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $2.56, SPWH sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($1.00 to $1.16).

SPWH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SPWH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings Inc. (SPWH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is SPWH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.3% event move for SPWH, spanning a range between $1 and $1.16.

Direct Sub-Reports: SPWH RQD Cockpit SPWH 12M Forecast SPWH Earnings & Move SPWH Dividends & DRIP SPWH Insiders & 13F SPWH Whale Options SPWH Profit Sankey SPWH News & Why