Stock Ratings / Technology / SPAI / earnings

GEG (38) ROC (39) MCHX (40) FATN (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.39 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38

Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $69.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.38 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SPAI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 20.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.06-18.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.30-2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.21+5.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.39-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SPAI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.25) and Max Pain ($3.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SPAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.42 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SPAI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 33/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -65%

Model Bullish Setup (33/100)Model Risk Weight (67/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$606.7K	-$14.3M	-$6.3M	33.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.2M	-$7.4M	-$4.2M	41.8%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$917.7K	-$6.3M	-$2.0M	33.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPAI)

✓Walkthrough of SPAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SPAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.78%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.26H $3.43L $3.13C $3.39VOL 104.3K

RES: $6.11SUP: $3.08SMA50: $4.25SMA200: $4.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPAI Butterfly Map → + Track SPAI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPAI)

Technology Rank #640 of 714 ⚔️ GEG vs SPAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SPAI vs. GEG, ROC, MCHX, FATN)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) ranks #640 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #545 by equity capitalization ($69.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEG leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while FATN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 91.0% gross margin. FATN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with SPAI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SPAI ACTIVE Safe Pro Group Inc.	E	33/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	0.00%	$69.0M	Benchmark Subject
GEG Great Elm Group Inc.	D-	38/100	5.2x	93.4%	-35.0%	+0.47%	$66.8M	/geg-vs-spai →
ROC Rank One Computing Corporation	D-	39/100	—	77.2%	-35.0%	+2.19%	$71.4M	/roc-vs-spai →
MCHX Marchex Inc. (Class B)	D-	40/100	—	63.2%	-22.4%	+1.36%	$66.1M	/mchx-vs-spai →
FATN FatPipe Inc.	D+	53/100	15.1x	91.0%	13.4%	+1.92%	$74.9M	/fatn-vs-spai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002011208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) reported GAAP revenue of $606.7K (-72.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.2M , and -33.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.3M, operating cash flow of -$6.2M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-50.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPAI closed FY2025 with $19.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$606.7K	-$14.3M	-$6.2M	-$6.3M	$19.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.2M	-$7.4M	-$4.1M	-$4.2M	$4.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$917.7K	-$6.3M	-$2.0M	-$2.0M	—	—

3. SPAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Safe Pro Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SPAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $3.39 (0.00% 1D, market cap $69.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SPAI ranks #640 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPAI compare to GEG and ROC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SPAI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GEG (Great Elm Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.8M) and ROC (Rank One Computing Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEG leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while FATN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPAI?

Per SPAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002011208), Safe Pro Group Inc. generated $606.7K in revenue (-72.0% YoY), -$14.3M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $19.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPAI last traded at $3.39 (0.00% on volume of 92,841 shares), positioning the stock -20.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.25) and -24.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.49). Across its 52-week range of $3.11 to $6.70, SPAI sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.97 to $3.81).

SPAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SPAI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SPAI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SPAI, spanning a range between $2.97 and $3.81.

Direct Sub-Reports: SPAI RQD Cockpit SPAI 12M Forecast SPAI Earnings & Move SPAI Dividends & DRIP SPAI Insiders & 13F SPAI Whale Options SPAI Profit Sankey SPAI News & Why