MARKET WIREReuters • 59m ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why SOGP Stock slipped -1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.20 -1.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15
Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $46.8M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SOGP ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SOGP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MF (MindForge Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.6%, cap $41.6M) and JG (Aurora Mobile Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?
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Per SOGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783407), Sound Group Inc. generated $443.7M in revenue (+59.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $39.6M in free cash flow against $107.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOGP SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($39.6M FCF) & 29.2% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$10.84-9.3% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$9.83+15% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$11.30-0.9% Next Q
60
CurrentGrade C$11.20+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SOGP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, SOGP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.48) or 200D SMA ($12.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.45) toward Bear Floor ($8.93).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOGP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOGP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SOGP Stock slipped -1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) slipped -1.39% to $11.20, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.73 – $23.5). Solid 29% profit margin (85% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.73 – $23.5) with RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.8% around $11.20 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 29.2% gross margin and $39.6M annual free cash flow.
Live SOGP Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SOGP Tape Review)
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SOGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.92%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $11.35H $11.35L $10.78C $11.20VOL 5.3K
RES: $11.65SUP: $9.49SMA50: $11.48SMA200: $12.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SOGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +59.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOGP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOGP)
Technology Rank #211 of 714
⚔️ MF vs SOGP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SOGP vs. MF, JG, GOAI, TEAD)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #566 by equity capitalization ($46.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SOGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SOGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. SOGP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOGP
ACTIVE
Sound Group Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | 29.2% | 85.0% | -1.39% | $46.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| MF MindForge Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | 0.8% | -6.6% | +11.99% | $41.6M | /mf-vs-sogp → |
| JG Aurora Mobile Limited | D | 49/100 | — | 67.2% | 4.0% | -12.21% | $40.3M | /jg-vs-sogp → |
| GOAI Eva Live Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 67.0% | +8.88% | $40.1M | /goai-vs-sogp → |
| TEAD Teads Holding Co. | D- | 41/100 | — | 33.0% | -35.0% | -12.20% | $29.9M | /tead-vs-sogp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001783407In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) reported GAAP revenue of $443.7M (+59.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $278.4M , and +52.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $40.0M, and free cash flow of $39.6M (+869.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOGP closed FY2025 with $107.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.85, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $443.7M | $0 | $40.0M | $39.6M | $107.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $278.4M | $0 | -$3.6M | -$5.1M | $71.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $291.8M | $0 | -$16.5M | -$16.5M | — | — |
3. SOGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SOGP ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SOGP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MF (MindForge Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.6%, cap $41.6M) and JG (Aurora Mobile Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?
Per SOGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783407), Sound Group Inc. generated $443.7M in revenue (+59.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $39.6M in free cash flow against $107.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SOGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SOGP last traded at $11.20 (-1.39% on volume of 10,577 shares), positioning the stock -2.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.48) and -13.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.93). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $23.50, SOGP sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($9.99 to $12.41).
SOGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SOGP stock moving today?
Why SOGP Stock slipped -1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 29% profit margin (85% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.