Stock Ratings / Technology / SOGP / earnings

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Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

$11.20 -1.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15

Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $46.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SOGP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SOGP carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MF (MindForge Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.6%, cap $41.6M) and JG (Aurora Mobile Limited) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?

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Per SOGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783407), Sound Group Inc. generated $443.7M in revenue (+59.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $39.6M in free cash flow against $107.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SOGP SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($39.6M FCF) & 29.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.85 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$10.98-10.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$9.85+18% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.62-3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$11.20-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SOGP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SOGP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.45) or 200D SMA ($12.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.05) toward Bear Floor ($8.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOGP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SOGP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.9% Swing Band

±$1.22 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SOGP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 59.4%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$443.7M	$0	$39.6M	29.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$278.4M	$0	-$5.1M	27.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$291.8M	$0	-$16.5M	29.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOGP)

✓Walkthrough of SOGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SOGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $11.36H $11.36L $11.20C $11.20VOL 10.6K

RES: $11.59SUP: $9.47SMA50: $11.45SMA200: $12.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SOGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SOGP Butterfly Map → + Track SOGP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +59.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOGP)

Technology Rank #306 of 714 ⚔️ MF vs SOGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SOGP vs. MF, JG, GOAI, TEAD)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) ranks #306 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #566 by equity capitalization ($46.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SOGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SOGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. SOGP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SOGP ACTIVE Sound Group Inc.	D+	55/100	—	29.2%	85.0%	-1.39%	$46.8M	Benchmark Subject
MF MindForge Inc. (Class A)	E	25/100	—	0.8%	-6.6%	+11.99%	$41.6M	/mf-vs-sogp →
JG Aurora Mobile Limited	D+	55/100	—	67.2%	4.0%	-12.21%	$40.3M	/jg-vs-sogp →
GOAI Eva Live Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	67.0%	+8.88%	$40.1M	/goai-vs-sogp →
TEAD Teads Holding Co.	D-	36/100	—	33.0%	-35.0%	-12.20%	$29.9M	/tead-vs-sogp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001783407

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) reported GAAP revenue of $443.7M (+59.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $278.4M , and +52.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $40.0M, and free cash flow of $39.6M (+869.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOGP closed FY2025 with $107.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.85, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$443.7M	$0	$40.0M	$39.6M	$107.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$278.4M	$0	-$3.6M	-$5.1M	$71.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$291.8M	$0	-$16.5M	-$16.5M	—	—

3. SOGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?

Where is SOGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOGP last traded at $11.20 (-1.39% on volume of 10,577 shares), positioning the stock -2.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.45) and -13.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $23.50, SOGP sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($9.98 to $12.42).

SOGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SOGP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sound Group Inc. (SOGP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SOGP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.9% event move for SOGP, spanning a range between $9.98 and $12.42.

Direct Sub-Reports: SOGP RQD Cockpit SOGP 12M Forecast SOGP Earnings & Move SOGP Dividends & DRIP SOGP Insiders & 13F SOGP Whale Options SOGP Profit Sankey SOGP News & Why