Silicom Ltd (SILC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$33.54 -5.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.17

Silicom Ltd (SILC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $202.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SILC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Silicom Ltd (NASDAQ: SILC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $33.54 (-5.01% 1D, market cap $202.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SILC ranks #608 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SILC compare to LTRX and ALLT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), SILC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.6%, and ROIC of -11.8%. By comparison, LTRX (Lantronix Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $299.1M) and ALLT (Allot Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $437.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SILC?
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Per SILC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000916793), Silicom Ltd generated $61.9M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $152.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.17 (-1.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$66 Bull$29 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE SILC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SILC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SILC SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (47% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 30.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$55.42-25.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$41.08-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$40.10-16.4% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$33.54-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SILC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SILC currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($45.98) and Max Pain ($35.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $66.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SILC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SILC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SILC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $33.54: 298.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $22.86
$6,816
$-3,184 (-31.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $29.31
$8,739
$-1,261 (-12.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $66.15
$19,723
+$9,723 (+97.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$6269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SILC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SILC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SILC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $44.16H $44.16L $33.54C $33.54VOL 411.1K
RES: $68.28SUP: $28.19SMA50: $45.98SMA200: $36.10
$66.14$53.13$40.13$27.12$14.11RES $68.28SUP $28.19$33.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SILC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SILC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SILC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SILC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SILC)

Technology Rank #608 of 714 ⚔️ LTRX vs SILC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SILC vs. LTRX, ALLT, BOSC, ATEN)

Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Silicom Ltd (SILC) ranks #608 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #475 by equity capitalization ($202.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOSC leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while ATEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.5% ROIC and 79.3% gross margin. BOSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with SILC at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SILC ACTIVE
Silicom Ltd
E 30/100 — 30.6% -11.8% -5.01% $202.9M Benchmark Subject
LTRX
Lantronix Inc.
D 48/100 — 42.1% -14.2% -5.80% $299.1M /ltrx-vs-silc →
ALLT
Allot Ltd.
D+ 57/100 118.0x 71.1% 3.0% -2.91% $437.4M /allt-vs-silc →
BOSC
B.O.S. Better Online Solutions
C 65/100 8.6x 23.9% 12.9% -3.42% $30.9M /bosc-vs-silc →
ATEN
A10 Networks Inc.
C- 61/100 44.5x 79.3% 26.5% -5.26% $1.88B /aten-vs-silc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000916793

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Silicom Ltd (SILC) reported GAAP revenue of $61.9M (+6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $58.1M , and -50.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of -$2.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.3M (-119.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SILC closed FY2025 with $152.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.21, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $61.9M -$11.5M -$2.2M -$3.3M $152.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $58.1M -$13.7M $18.3M $17.4M $150.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $124.1M -$26.4M $31.9M $31.9M — —

3. SILC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SILC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Silicom Ltd (NASDAQ: SILC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $33.54 (-5.01% 1D, market cap $202.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SILC ranks #608 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SILC compare to LTRX and ALLT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), SILC carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.6%, and ROIC of -11.8%. By comparison, LTRX (Lantronix Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $299.1M) and ALLT (Allot Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 118.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $437.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOSC leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SILC?

Per SILC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000916793), Silicom Ltd generated $61.9M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $152.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SILC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SILC last traded at $33.54 (-5.01% on volume of 207,772 shares), positioning the stock -27.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.98) and -7.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.10). Across its 52-week range of $13.34 to $63.00, SILC sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($29.35 to $37.73).

SILC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SILC's 12-month stock price target?

Silicom Ltd (SILC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $29.31 (-12.6% from $33.54), with a bull-case target of $66.15 and a bear-case floor of $22.86.

Is SILC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SILC E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 30/100.

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