CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
SIFCO vs. Park Aerospace: Which Aerospace Stock Is a Better Buy?SIF and PKE ride on different aerospace growth drivers, but which stock looks more compelling amid contrasting performance and valuations? Let's dive in.
Why SIF Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$21.19 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.19
SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $132.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.19 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SIF SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.4% FCF Margin ($3.7M FCF) & 12.5% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$23.75-12.5% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$20.79-3.1% Next Q
40
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$20.14+5.2% Next Q
38
CurrentGrade D-$21.19-8.5% Hist 90D α
35
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SIF Turnaround Squeeze
While SIF currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.60) and Max Pain ($22.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SIF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SIF Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) advanced +0.95% to $21.19, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($4.88 – $29). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($4.88 – $29) with RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.9% around $21.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 12.5% gross margin and $3.7M annual free cash flow.
Live SIF Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs and SIFCO IndustriesApple, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs and SIFCO Industries feature in Zacks' latest research, highlighting growth drivers, earnings prospects and key risks.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
SIF: Anatomy of the One That Got AwayHow a Neutral rated stock turned into a big winner.
CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Top Stock Reports for Apple, Berkshire Hathaway & Goldman SachsApple, Berkshire Hathaway and Goldman Sachs headline today's top stock reports, highlighting growth drivers, strategic opportunities and key risks.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIF)
- ✓Walkthrough of SIF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SIF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $20.68H $21.19L $19.89C $21.19VOL 72.7K
RES: $23.78SUP: $20.07SMA50: $21.60SMA200: $18.17
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SIF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIF)
Industrials Rank #412 of 485
⚔️ DPRO vs SIF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SIF vs. DPRO, AIRO, HOVR, EVTL)
Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) ranks #412 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #367 by equity capitalization ($132.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with SIF at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIF
ACTIVE
SIFCO Industries Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 12.5% | 0.4% | +0.95% | $132.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| DPRO Draganfly Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +1.10% | $143.4M | /dpro-vs-sif → |
| AIRO AIRO Group Holdings Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 59.9% | -3.1% | +6.67% | $171.7M | /airo-vs-sif → |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share | D- | 39/100 | 9.9x | — | — | -2.31% | $85.2M | /hovr-vs-sif → |
| EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +3.44% | $73.4M | /evtl-vs-sif → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000090168In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) reported GAAP revenue of $84.8M (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.6M , and +28.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$729.0K, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SIF closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $84.8M | -$729.0K | — | — | $74.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $79.6M | -$5.4M | — | — | $81.0M | $85.0K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $66.1M | -$8.7M | -$1.4M | -$1.4M | — | — |
3. SIF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $21.19 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #412 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $171.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?
Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SIF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SIF last traded at $21.19 (+0.95% on volume of 41,517 shares), positioning the stock -1.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.60) and +16.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.88 to $29.00, SIF sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($18.88 to $23.50).
SIF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SIF stock moving today?
Why SIF Stock advanced +0.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.