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AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.44 +6.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.49

AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $171.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.49 (+1.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AIRO SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.12-13.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.30-10.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.75+14.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.44-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIRO currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.58) and Max Pain ($5.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AIRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.68>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE

L: $5$5.44H: $16

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AIRO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

-3.1% ROIC with 59.9% gross margin and -20.68% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 2.68 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIRO

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRO)

✓Walkthrough of AIRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AIRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $5.28H $5.44L $4.97C $5.44VOL 373.7K

RES: $13.87SUP: $4.43SMA50: $6.58SMA200: $8.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIRO Butterfly Map → + Track AIRO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRO)

Industrials Rank #405 of 485 ⚔️ DPRO vs AIRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AIRO vs. DPRO, SIF, EH, HOVR)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) ranks #405 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #357 by equity capitalization ($171.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with AIRO at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AIRO ACTIVE AIRO Group Holdings Inc.	D-	36/100	—	59.9%	-3.1%	+6.67%	$171.7M	Benchmark Subject
DPRO Draganfly Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$143.4M	/dpro-vs-airo →
SIF SIFCO Industries Inc.	D-	35/100	—	12.5%	0.4%	+0.95%	$132.5M	/sif-vs-airo →
EH EHang Holdings Limited ADS	E	26/100	—	61.5%	-27.9%	-0.27%	$278.4M	/eh-vs-airo →
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share	D-	39/100	9.9x	—	—	-2.31%	$85.2M	/hovr-vs-airo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001927958

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) reported GAAP revenue of $90.9M (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.9M ) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$32.4M, and free cash flow of -$35.5M (-271.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRO closed FY2025 with $774.1M in total assets against $500.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$90.9M	-$4.1M	-$32.4M	-$35.5M	$774.1M	$500.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$86.9M	-$38.7M	$21.5M	$20.7M	$701.0M	$688.0K

3. AIRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $5.44 (+6.67% 1D, market cap $171.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRO ranks #405 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIRO compare to DPRO and SIF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AIRO carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and SIF (SIFCO Industries Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRO?

Per AIRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001927958), AIRO Group Holdings Inc. generated $90.9M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $774.1M in total assets and $500.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIRO last traded at $5.44 (+6.67% on volume of 315,555 shares), positioning the stock -17.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.58) and -32.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $4.53 to $16.43, AIRO sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.76 to $6.12).

AIRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AIRO stock right now?

AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AIRO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AIRO's 12-month base price target is $4.9 (range $3.82 to $17.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AIRO RQD Cockpit AIRO 12M Forecast AIRO Earnings & Move AIRO Dividends & DRIP AIRO Insiders & 13F AIRO Whale Options AIRO Profit Sankey AIRO News & Why