Stock Ratings / Industrials / SIF / dividends

DPRO (60) AIRO (36) HOVR (39) EVTL (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$21.19 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.19

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $132.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.19 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SIF SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.4% FCF Margin ($3.7M FCF) & 12.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$23.75-12.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$20.79-3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$20.14+5.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$21.19-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SIF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SIF currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.60) and Max Pain ($22.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SIF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIF)

✓Walkthrough of SIF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SIF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $20.68H $21.19L $19.89C $21.19VOL 72.7K

RES: $23.78SUP: $20.07SMA50: $21.60SMA200: $18.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIF Butterfly Map → + Track SIF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIF)

Industrials Rank #412 of 485 ⚔️ DPRO vs SIF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SIF vs. DPRO, AIRO, HOVR, EVTL)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) ranks #412 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #367 by equity capitalization ($132.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with SIF at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SIF ACTIVE SIFCO Industries Inc.	D-	35/100	—	12.5%	0.4%	+0.95%	$132.5M	Benchmark Subject
DPRO Draganfly Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$143.4M	/dpro-vs-sif →
AIRO AIRO Group Holdings Inc.	D-	36/100	—	59.9%	-3.1%	+6.67%	$171.7M	/airo-vs-sif →
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share	D-	39/100	9.9x	—	—	-2.31%	$85.2M	/hovr-vs-sif →
EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.44%	$73.4M	/evtl-vs-sif →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000090168

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) reported GAAP revenue of $84.8M (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.6M , and +28.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$729.0K, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SIF closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$84.8M	-$729.0K	—	—	$74.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$79.6M	-$5.4M	—	—	$81.0M	$85.0K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$66.1M	-$8.7M	-$1.4M	-$1.4M	—	—

3. SIF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $21.19 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #412 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $171.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?

Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIF last traded at $21.19 (+0.95% on volume of 41,517 shares), positioning the stock -1.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.60) and +16.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.88 to $29.00, SIF sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($18.88 to $23.50).

SIF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SIF pay a dividend and is it safe?

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: SIF RQD Cockpit SIF 12M Forecast SIF Earnings & Move SIF Dividends & DRIP SIF Insiders & 13F SIF Whale Options SIF Profit Sankey SIF News & Why