Why SHOO Stock surged +5.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$44.93 +5.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.29B
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHOO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
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Why SHOO Stock surged +5.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) surged +5.27% to $44.93, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($31.33 – $49.7). Solid 42% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 74x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($31.33 – $49.7) with RSI-14 at 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $44.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 41.6% gross margin and $119.5M annual free cash flow.
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SHOO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.62%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $44.93H $45.30L $43.34C $44.93VOL 1.22M
RES: $46.81SUP: $41.96SMA50: $43.98SMA200: $41.37
$50.68$46.62$42.57$38.51$34.45RES $46.81SUP $41.96$44.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHOO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
47.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHOO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHOO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHOO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHOO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #200 of 1011 ⚔️ BIRK vs SHOO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHOO vs. BIRK, WWW, CROX, DECK)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) ranks #200 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #344 by equity capitalization ($3.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DECK leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DECK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 73.9% ROIC and 57.7% gross margin. DECK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SHOO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHOO ACTIVE
Steven Madden Ltd.
C+ 69/100 73.6x 41.6% 6.5% +5.27% $3.29B Benchmark Subject
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.70% $5.51B /birk-vs-shoo →
WWW
Wolverine World Wide Inc.
B 74/100 17.6x 47.3% 12.4% +5.16% $1.69B /www-vs-shoo →
CROX
Crocs Inc.
C+ 69/100 — 58.3% 4.9% +25.54% $7.20B /crox-vs-shoo →
DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
B 75/100 11.0x 57.7% 73.9% +2.50% $11.29B /deck-vs-shoo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000913241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +27.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.7M, operating cash flow of $162.2M, and free cash flow of $119.5M (-30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHOO closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $234.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.52B $44.7M $162.2M $119.5M $1.91B $234.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.27B $169.4M $198.1M $172.2M $1.41B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.97B $171.6M $229.2M $229.2M — —

3. SHOO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $44.93 (+5.27% 1D, market cap $3.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOO ranks #200 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHOO compare to BIRK and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), SHOO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.6x, gross margin of 41.6%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, BIRK (Birkenstock Holding plc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.51B) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOO?

Per SHOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000913241), Steven Madden Ltd. generated $2.52B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $44.7M in net income, and $119.5M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $234.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 74x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHOO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHOO last traded at $44.93 (+5.27% on volume of 1,198,176 shares), positioning the stock +2.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.98) and +8.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.37). Across its 52-week range of $31.33 to $49.70, SHOO sits at the 74.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($41.74 to $48.12).

SHOO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is SHOO stock moving today?

Why SHOO Stock surged +5.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 42% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 74x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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