CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Host Hotels & Resorts: With A 9% Return Is A HoldHost Hotels & Resorts offers fair value upside, strong luxury hotel assets, and solid IRR potential. Discover more about the HST stock here.
Why SHO Stock advanced +1.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.94 +1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.95
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. (SHO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.41B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.95 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHO SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 73.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.9% FCF Margin ($181.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$11.31+4.6% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$11.83+5.7% Next Q
62
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$12.51+3.4% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C+$12.94+1.6% Hist 90D α
67
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, SHO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.49) or 200D SMA ($10.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.46) toward Bear Floor ($10.50).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SHO Stock advanced +1.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. (SHO) advanced +1.41% to $12.94, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($8.69 – $12.99). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($8.69 – $12.99) with RSI-14 at 73.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.5% around $12.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $181.8M annual free cash flow.
Live SHO Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 3d ago
Medical Properties (MPT) Q3 FFO and Revenues Miss EstimatesMedical Properties (MPT) delivered FFO and revenue surprises of -15.39% and -7.15%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) is a Great ChoiceDoes Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? Let's find out.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) is at a 52-week high, but can investors hope for more gains in the future? We take a look at the company's fundamentals for clues.
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 6d ago
Evercore ISI Group Downgrades Sunstone Hotel Invts to In-Line, Maintains Price Target to $13Evercore ISI Group analyst Duane Pfenningwerth downgrades Sunstone Hotel Invts (NYSE:SHO) from Outperform to In-Line and maintains the price target from $13 to $13.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (SHO) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?Sunstone Hotel (SHO) is at a 52-week high, but can investors hope for more gains in the future? We take a look at the company's fundamentals for clues.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 11d ago
JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on Sunstone Hotel Invts, Raises Price Target to $11JP Morgan analyst Daniel Politzer maintains Sunstone Hotel Invts (NYSE:SHO) with a Underweight and raises the price target from $10 to $11.
CATALYSTYahoo • 14d ago
Does Sunstone Hotel Investors (SHO) Look Fully Valued On Cash Flow?Sunstone Hotel Investors has delivered a solid run over the past few years, which naturally raises a question for anyone looking at the stock today. Given that record, the key issue now is whether the current share price
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SHO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SHO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.77%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $12.93H $12.94L $12.69C $12.94VOL 1.88M
RES: $11.69SUP: $10.79SMA50: $11.49SMA200: $10.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SHO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHO)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #239 of 1011
⚔️ HGV vs SHO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHO vs. HGV, PENN, MCRI, XHR)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. (SHO) ranks #239 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #395 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with SHO at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHO
ACTIVE
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +1.41% | $2.41B | Benchmark Subject |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +0.51% | $2.78B | /hgv-vs-sho → |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +4.14% | $2.06B | /penn-vs-sho → |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | -0.44% | $2.00B | /mcri-vs-sho → |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | +0.14% | $1.91B | /xhr-vs-sho → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001295810In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. (SHO) reported GAAP revenue of $960.1M (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $905.8M , and -2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $181.8M, and free cash flow of $181.8M (+6.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHO closed FY2025 with $3.03B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $960.1M | $0 | $181.8M | $181.8M | $3.03B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $905.8M | $0 | $170.4M | $170.4M | $3.11B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $986.5M | $0 | $198.1M | $198.1M | — | — |
3. SHO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SHO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. (NYSE: SHO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $12.94 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHO ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SHO compare to HGV and PENN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), SHO carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.78B) and PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHO?
Per SHO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001295810), Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. generated $960.1M in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $181.8M in free cash flow against $3.03B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SHO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SHO last traded at $12.94 (+1.41% on volume of 2,612,302 shares), positioning the stock +12.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.49) and +22.54% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.56). Across its 52-week range of $8.69 to $12.99, SHO sits at the 98.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($12.23 to $13.65).
SHO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SHO stock moving today?
Why SHO Stock advanced +1.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.