MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Reported Earlier, Aura Minerals Greenlights $382M Era Dorada Underground Gold Project In Guatemala, Estimating 111,000 Oz Annual Output And First Half 2028 Production CommencementWhy SGML Stock dropped -7.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.66 -7.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $862.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SGML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.66 (-7.71% 1D, market cap $862.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SGML ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SGML compare to MTAL and ASM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), SGML carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTAL (Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $831.2M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGML leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGML?
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For Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #170 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54 (-1.58%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGML)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SGML SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($24.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$9.35-8.8% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$8.53-8.2% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$7.83-2.2% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D$7.66-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGML Turnaround Squeeze
While SGML currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.81) and Max Pain ($8.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.70.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGML• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SGML Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SGML Stock dropped -7.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) dropped -7.71% to $7.66, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($4.62 – $24.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($4.62 – $24.48) with RSI-14 at 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.3% around $7.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $24.1M annual free cash flow.
Live SGML Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Sigma Lithium bets on lower costs and Brazil’s industrial futureSigma Lithium Corp (TSX-V:SGML, NASDAQ:SGML, ASX:SAU) wants to be more than a low-cost lithium oxide concentrate producer. Its Brazilian operations support a network of industrial suppliers, workers and small-scale farme
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's WhySigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) closed at $8.3 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.78% move from the prior day.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Sigma Lithium Extends Maturity of $100 Million Senior Secured Debt to June 2027Sigma Lithium (SGML.V, SGML) and its subsidiary, Sigma Mineracao S.A, signed an agreement letter to
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Sigma Lithium extends $100M debt to June 2027 as Brazil operations resumeSigma Lithium CEO Ana Cabral-Gardner joined Steve Darling from Proactive to discuss the company's six-month extension of its US$100 million senior secured debt to June 2027, the resumption of operations in Brazil and its
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Sigma Lithium extends debt runway as restart gathers paceSigma Lithium Corp (TSX-V:SGML, NASDAQ:SGML, ASX:SAU) has agreed with Synergy Capital to push back the maturity of its US$100 million senior secured debt by six months, to June 2027 from December 2026. The interest rate
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Sigma Lithium Extends 4-Year US$100 Million Senior Secured Debt to June 2027; 7,090t Produced Since RestartHIGHLIGHTSSigma Lithium extends the maturity of its 4-year US$100M senior secured debt with Synergy Capital by six months, from December 2026 to June 2027.The interest rate on the senior secured facility remained unchang
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 10d ago
Shares of copper stocks are trading lower amid a drop in copper prices, driven by a rise in the US dollar. There are also reports indicating slower China demand.RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to NoteIn the latest trading session, Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) closed at $8.14, marking a -3.78% move from the previous day.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGML)
- ✓Walkthrough of SGML's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SGML // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $7.39H $7.66L $6.84C $7.66VOL 2.36M
RES: $8.06SUP: $6.11SMA50: $9.81SMA200: $12.87
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SGML Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGML today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGML. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGML today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGML)
Materials Rank #170 of 270
⚔️ MTAL vs SGML Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SGML vs. MTAL, ASM, LAC, GSM)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #146 by equity capitalization ($862.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGML leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with SGML at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGML
ACTIVE
Sigma Lithium Corporation | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -7.71% | $862.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| MTAL Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -0.15% | $831.2M | /mtal-vs-sgml → |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -3.76% | $779.4M | /asm-vs-sgml → |
| LAC Lithium Americas Corp. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -8.1% | -1.84% | $773.3M | /lac-vs-sgml → |
| GSM Ferroglobe PLC | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.12% | $749.3M | /gsm-vs-sgml → |
2. SGML Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTSigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $862.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. SGML Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SGML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sigma Lithium Corporation (NASDAQ: SGML) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.66 (-7.71% 1D, market cap $862.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SGML ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SGML compare to MTAL and ASM in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), SGML carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MTAL (Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $831.2M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGML leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGML?
For Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #170 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SGML trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SGML last traded at $7.66 (-7.71% on volume of 1,185,802 shares), positioning the stock -21.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.81) and -40.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.87). Across its 52-week range of $4.62 to $24.48, SGML sits at the 15.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($6.72 to $8.60).
SGML Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SGML stock moving today?
Why SGML Stock dropped -7.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.