Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.08 -0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $831.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$12 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE MTAL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MTAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $10$10.08H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MTAL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MTAL
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MTAL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MTAL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MTAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $10.08H $10.08L $10.08C $10.08
RES: $10.17SUP: $9.87SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $10.15
$11.93$11.39$10.86$10.32$9.78RES $10.17SUP $9.87$10.082026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MTAL)

Materials Rank #171 of 270 ⚔️ SGML vs MTAL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MTAL vs. SGML, ASM, LAC, GSM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #148 by equity capitalization ($831.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTAL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MTAL at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MTAL ACTIVE
Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A)
D 49/100 — — — -0.15% $831.2M Benchmark Subject
SGML
Sigma Lithium Corporation
D 49/100 — — — -7.71% $862.3M /sgml-vs-mtal →
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 48/100 — — — -3.76% $779.4M /asm-vs-mtal →
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp.
D- 37/100 — — -8.1% -1.84% $773.3M /lac-vs-mtal →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.12% $749.3M /gsm-vs-mtal →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002107724

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MTAL closed FY2025 with $132.1K in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $132.1K —

3. MTAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MTAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (NYSE: MTAL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $10.08 (-0.15% 1D, market cap $831.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MTAL ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MTAL compare to SGML and ASM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), MTAL carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SGML (Sigma Lithium Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $862.3M) and ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTAL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MTAL?

Per MTAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002107724), Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $132.1K in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MTAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MTAL last traded at $10.08 (-0.15% on volume of 1,211 shares), positioning the stock -0.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -0.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.15). Across its 52-week range of $9.95 to $11.80, MTAL sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($9.90 to $10.26).

MTAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MTAL stock right now?

Metals Acquisition Corp. II (Class A) (MTAL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MTAL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MTAL's 12-month base price target is $9.67 (range $7.54 to $12.39), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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