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Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell LAC stock right now?

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is LAC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LAC's 12-month base price target is $1.93 (range $1.51 to $7.31), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$2.13 -1.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $773.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (-0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LAC SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.35-7.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.18-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.07+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.13-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LAC currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.64) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

31.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.13H: $7

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LAC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

-8.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LAC

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LAC)

✓Walkthrough of LAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.13L $1.98C $2.13VOL 8.31M

RES: $2.14SUP: $1.94SMA50: $2.64SMA200: $3.96

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LAC Butterfly Map → + Track LAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAC)

Materials Rank #232 of 270 ⚔️ ASM vs LAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LAC vs. ASM, GSM, DC, LAR)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) ranks #232 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #152 by equity capitalization ($773.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with LAC at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LAC ACTIVE Lithium Americas Corp.	D-	37/100	—	—	-8.1%	-1.84%	$773.3M	Benchmark Subject
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-3.76%	$779.4M	/asm-vs-lac →
GSM Ferroglobe PLC	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.12%	$749.3M	/gsm-vs-lac →
DC Dakota Gold Corp.	D-	35/100	—	—	-29.3%	-3.19%	$733.9M	/dc-vs-lac →
LAR Lithium Argentina AG	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.98%	$730.2M	/lar-vs-lac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001966983

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$86.3M, operating cash flow of -$61.2M, and free cash flow of -$826.3M (-333.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAC closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$86.3M	-$61.2M	-$826.3M	$2.58B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$42.6M	-$13.0M	-$190.7M	$1.04B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$5.1M	-$39.5M	-$39.5M	—	—

3. LAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $773.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $749.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?

Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAC last traded at $2.13 (-1.84% on volume of 5,861,390 shares), positioning the stock -19.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.64) and -46.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.96). Across its 52-week range of $1.98 to $6.96, LAC sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($1.92 to $2.34).

LAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LAC stock right now?

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LAC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LAC's 12-month base price target is $1.93 (range $1.51 to $7.31), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: LAC RQD Cockpit LAC 12M Forecast LAC Earnings & Move LAC Dividends & DRIP LAC Insiders & 13F LAC Whale Options LAC Profit Sankey LAC News & Why