Why LAC Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.13 -1.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $773.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $773.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $749.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?
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Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (-0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAC SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.35-7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$2.18-5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$2.07+2.9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$2.13-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LAC currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.64) and Max Pain ($2.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LAC Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) slipped -1.84% to $2.13, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($1.98 – $6.96). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($1.98 – $6.96) with RSI-14 at 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.8% around $2.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LAC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Lithium Americas And 2 Other Canadian Lithium Stocks To Watch

Lithium linked stocks are drawing fresh attention as governments push to secure critical minerals such as those in Kenya’s Mrima Hill project, where US, Australian and other investors are competing for access. Supply sec

MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Top 3 Canadian Lithium Stocks To Watch In October 2026

Canada just approved a major LNG expansion to supply energy hungry Asian buyers, and that same global scramble for reliable resources also shines a light on another key input. Lithium sits at the crossroads of batteries,

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.13L $1.98C $2.13VOL 8.31M
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.94SMA50: $2.64SMA200: $3.96
$6.67$5.40$4.13$2.86$1.59RES $2.14SUP $1.94$2.132026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAC)

Materials Rank #232 of 270 ⚔️ ASM vs LAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LAC vs. ASM, GSM, DC, LAR)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) ranks #232 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #152 by equity capitalization ($773.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with LAC at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAC ACTIVE
Lithium Americas Corp.
D- 37/100 — — -8.1% -1.84% $773.3M Benchmark Subject
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
D 48/100 — — — -3.76% $779.4M /asm-vs-lac →
GSM
Ferroglobe PLC
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.12% $749.3M /gsm-vs-lac →
DC
Dakota Gold Corp.
D- 35/100 — — -29.3% -3.19% $733.9M /dc-vs-lac →
LAR
Lithium Argentina AG
D 50/100 — — — -1.98% $730.2M /lar-vs-lac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001966983

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$86.3M, operating cash flow of -$61.2M, and free cash flow of -$826.3M (-333.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAC closed FY2025 with $2.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$86.3M -$61.2M -$826.3M $2.58B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$42.6M -$13.0M -$190.7M $1.04B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$5.1M -$39.5M -$39.5M — —

3. LAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.13 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $773.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LAC ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAC compare to ASM and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), LAC carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.1%. By comparison, ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $749.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAC?

Per LAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001966983), Lithium Americas Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$86.3M in net income, and -$826.3M in free cash flow against $2.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAC last traded at $2.13 (-1.84% on volume of 5,861,390 shares), positioning the stock -19.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.64) and -46.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.96). Across its 52-week range of $1.98 to $6.96, LAC sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($1.92 to $2.34).

LAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is LAC stock moving today?

Why LAC Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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