Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SGA / options

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Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$8.14 -2.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09

Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $51.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09 (-0.62%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SGA SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$8.36-0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$8.32-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$8.20-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$8.14+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SGA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SGA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.62) or 200D SMA ($9.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.25) toward Bear Floor ($6.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SGA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SGA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SGA.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SGA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SGA
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SGA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $8.14H $8.18L $8.08C $8.14VOL 5.0K

RES: $8.45SUP: $8.08SMA50: $8.62SMA200: $9.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SGA Butterfly Map → + Track SGA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGA)

Communication Services Rank #33 of 132 ⚔️ TSQ vs SGA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SGA vs. TSQ, MDIA, UONE, UONEK)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) ranks #33 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #103 by equity capitalization ($51.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TSQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. SGA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SGA ACTIVE Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)	C-	61/100	—	—	-6.5%	-2.40%	$51.8M	Benchmark Subject
TSQ Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	25.5%	8.4%	0.00%	$56.2M	/tsq-vs-sga →
MDIA Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	-18.7%	-8.33%	$83.2M	/mdia-vs-sga →
UONE Urban One Inc. (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	-31.3%	-3.14%	$18.8M	/uone-vs-sga →
UONEK Urban One Inc. Class D	D-	38/100	—	—	-31.3%	-1.86%	$17.0M	/uonek-vs-sga →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000886136

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of $5.5M, and free cash flow of $2.4M (-75.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGA closed FY2025 with $201.3M in total assets against $5.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$7.9M	$5.5M	$2.4M	$201.3M	$5.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$3.5M	$13.8M	$10.0M	$221.7M	$5.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$115.5M	$9.5M	$15.4M	$15.4M	—	—

3. SGA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (NASDAQ: SGA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $8.14 (-2.40% 1D, market cap $51.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SGA ranks #33 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SGA compare to TSQ and MDIA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SGA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $56.2M) and MDIA (Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.7%, cap $83.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGA?

Per SGA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000886136), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$7.9M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $201.3M in total assets and $5.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SGA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGA last traded at $8.14 (-2.40% on volume of 22,228 shares), positioning the stock -5.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.62) and -18.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.98). Across its 52-week range of $8.08 to $12.76, SGA sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($7.80 to $8.48).

SGA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SGA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SGA.

Direct Sub-Reports: SGA RQD Cockpit SGA 12M Forecast SGA Earnings & Move SGA Dividends & DRIP SGA Insiders & 13F SGA Whale Options SGA Profit Sankey SGA News & Why