MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
Why SGA Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.14 -2.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09
Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $51.8M
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Is SGA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (NASDAQ: SGA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $8.14 (-2.40% 1D, market cap $51.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SGA ranks #33 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SGA compare to TSQ and MDIA in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SGA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $56.2M) and MDIA (Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.7%, cap $83.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGA?
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Per SGA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000886136), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$7.9M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $201.3M in total assets and $5.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09 (-0.62%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SGA SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$8.36-0.5% Next Q
69
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$8.32-1.4% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$8.20-0.7% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C-$8.14+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SGA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SGA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.62) or 200D SMA ($9.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.25) toward Bear Floor ($6.44).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SGA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SGA Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) dropped -2.40% to $8.14, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($8.08 – $12.76). Solid steady margins (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($8.08 – $12.76) with RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.2% around $8.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.4M annual free cash flow.
Live SGA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 6h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 6h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 10h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SGA Tape Review)
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SGA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $8.14H $8.18L $8.08C $8.14VOL 5.0K
RES: $8.45SUP: $8.08SMA50: $8.62SMA200: $9.98
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SGA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGA)
Communication Services Rank #33 of 132
⚔️ TSQ vs SGA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SGA vs. TSQ, MDIA, UONE, UONEK)
Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) ranks #33 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #103 by equity capitalization ($51.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TSQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. SGA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGA
ACTIVE
Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) | C- | 61/100 | — | — | -6.5% | -2.40% | $51.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| TSQ Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 25.5% | 8.4% | 0.00% | $56.2M | /tsq-vs-sga → |
| MDIA Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | -18.7% | -8.33% | $83.2M | /mdia-vs-sga → |
| UONE Urban One Inc. (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | -31.3% | -3.14% | $18.8M | /uone-vs-sga → |
| UONEK Urban One Inc. Class D | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -31.3% | -1.86% | $17.0M | /uonek-vs-sga → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000886136In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of $5.5M, and free cash flow of $2.4M (-75.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGA closed FY2025 with $201.3M in total assets against $5.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$7.9M | $5.5M | $2.4M | $201.3M | $5.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $3.5M | $13.8M | $10.0M | $221.7M | $5.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $115.5M | $9.5M | $15.4M | $15.4M | — | — |
3. SGA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SGA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (NASDAQ: SGA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $8.14 (-2.40% 1D, market cap $51.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SGA ranks #33 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SGA compare to TSQ and MDIA in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SGA carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $56.2M) and MDIA (Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.7%, cap $83.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGA?
Per SGA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000886136), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$7.9M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $201.3M in total assets and $5.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SGA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SGA last traded at $8.14 (-2.40% on volume of 22,228 shares), positioning the stock -5.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.62) and -18.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.98). Across its 52-week range of $8.08 to $12.76, SGA sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($7.80 to $8.48).
SGA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SGA stock moving today?
Why SGA Stock dropped -2.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.