SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.91 +9.74% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $322.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (16)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SES RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.330 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.36>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.91H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SES

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (20)

-35.0% ROIC with 53.8% gross margin and -18.98% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.36 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SES
  • βœ“Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SES)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.33%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $0.81H $0.91L $0.73C $0.91VOL 21.37M
RES: $1.00SUP: $0.52SMA50: $0.65SMA200: $1.04
$1.77$1.43$1.08$0.73$0.38RES $1.00SUP $0.52$0.912026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SES today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SES)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SES vs. HLP, CUB, TWIN, ELVA)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) ranks #366 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #320 by equity capitalization ($322.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CUB leads on earnings valuation at 38.8x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. HLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with SES at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SES ACTIVE
SES AI Corporation (Class A)
D- 41/100 β€” 53.8% -35.0% +9.74% $322.5M Benchmark Subject
HLP
Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 β€” 32.5% 3.4% 0.00% $313.2M /hlp-vs-ses β†’
CUB
Lionheart Holdings (Class A)
D- 40/100 38.8x β€” -4.0% +0.09% $347.5M /cub-vs-ses β†’
TWIN
Twin Disc Incorporated
C- 60/100 β€” 27.6% 3.9% -0.71% $367.7M /twin-vs-ses β†’
ELVA
Electrovaya Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.09% $281.5M /elva-vs-ses β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001819142

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) reported GAAP revenue of $21.0M (+929.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of -$58.4M, and free cash flow of -$61.2M (+21.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SES closed FY2025 with $272.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.36, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $21.0M -$72.5M -$58.4M -$61.2M $272.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.0M -$100.2M -$66.1M -$78.3M $329.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$53.4M -$56.4M -$56.4M β€” β€”

3. SES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SES AI Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: SES) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $0.91 (+9.74% 1D, market cap $322.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SES ranks #366 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SES compare to HLP and CUB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SES carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 53.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HLP (Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $313.2M) and CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CUB leads on earnings multiple (38.8x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SES?

Per SES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819142), SES AI Corporation (Class A) generated $21.0M in revenue (+929.4% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$61.2M in free cash flow against $272.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SES last traded at $0.91 (+9.74% on volume of 37,880,745 shares), positioning the stock +40.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.65) and -12.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.49 to $2.62, SES sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.02).

SES Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SES stock right now?

SES AI Corporation (Class A) (SES) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell β€” SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SES's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SES's 12-month base price target is $0.84 (range $0.66 to $2.75), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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