Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SEG / options

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Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.05 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.06

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $295.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.06 (+0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SEG SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$22.25+2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$22.77-0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$22.68+1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$23.05-10.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (16) → E (24)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SEG currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.07) and Max Pain ($24.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SEG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SEG.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEG)

✓Walkthrough of SEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $23.04H $23.05L $22.42C $23.05VOL 41.2K

RES: $29.29SUP: $20.70SMA50: $24.07SMA200: $23.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEG Butterfly Map → + Track SEG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #992 of 1011 ⚔️ CDRO vs SEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEG vs. CDRO, AIBZ, XPOF, LUCK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) ranks #992 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #649 by equity capitalization ($295.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with SEG at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SEG ACTIVE Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.	E	24/100	—	—	-24.6%	+1.27%	$295.3M	Benchmark Subject
CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-5.86%	$387.4M	/cdro-vs-seg →
AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-12.37%	$202.8M	/aibz-vs-seg →
XPOF Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)	D	45/100	—	—	6.8%	-6.73%	$184.5M	/xpof-vs-seg →
LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)	E	34/100	—	—	7.7%	-0.25%	$552.1M	/luck-vs-seg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002009684

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported GAAP revenue of $130.4M (+18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.2M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$116.7M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEG closed FY2025 with $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$130.4M	-$116.7M	-$49.7M	-$49.7M	$650.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$110.2M	-$153.2M	-$52.7M	-$52.7M	$743.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$114.9M	-$838.1M	-$50.8M	-$50.8M	—	—

3. SEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $23.05 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $295.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SEG compare to CDRO and AIBZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $387.4M) and AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $202.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?

Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEG last traded at $23.05 (+1.27% on volume of 63,111 shares), positioning the stock -4.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.07) and -2.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.59). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $29.61, SEG sits at the 44.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($21.85 to $24.25).

SEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SEG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SEG.

Direct Sub-Reports: SEG RQD Cockpit SEG 12M Forecast SEG Earnings & Move SEG Dividends & DRIP SEG Insiders & 13F SEG Whale Options SEG Profit Sankey SEG News & Why