MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why SEG Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.05 +1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.06
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $295.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.06 (+0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SEG SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (33% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$22.25+2.3% Next Q
16
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$22.77-0.4% Next Q
19
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$22.68+1.6% Next Q
21
CurrentGrade E$23.05-10.9% Hist 90D α
24
Trajectory: E (16) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEG Turnaround Squeeze
While SEG currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.07) and Max Pain ($24.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.09.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SEG Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) advanced +1.27% to $23.05, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($17.74 – $29.61). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-25% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($17.74 – $29.61) with RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $23.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SEG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEG)
- ✓Walkthrough of SEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $23.04H $23.05L $22.42C $23.05VOL 41.2K
RES: $29.29SUP: $20.70SMA50: $24.07SMA200: $23.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #992 of 1011
⚔️ CDRO vs SEG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEG vs. CDRO, AIBZ, XPOF, LUCK)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) ranks #992 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #649 by equity capitalization ($295.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with SEG at 24/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEG
ACTIVE
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | — | -24.6% | +1.27% | $295.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -5.86% | $387.4M | /cdro-vs-seg → |
| AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -12.37% | $202.8M | /aibz-vs-seg → |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | — | 6.8% | -6.73% | $184.5M | /xpof-vs-seg → |
| LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 7.7% | -0.25% | $552.1M | /luck-vs-seg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002009684In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported GAAP revenue of $130.4M (+18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.2M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$116.7M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEG closed FY2025 with $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $130.4M | -$116.7M | -$49.7M | -$49.7M | $650.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $110.2M | -$153.2M | -$52.7M | -$52.7M | $743.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $114.9M | -$838.1M | -$50.8M | -$50.8M | — | — |
3. SEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $23.05 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $295.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #992 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SEG compare to CDRO and AIBZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $387.4M) and AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $202.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?
Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SEG last traded at $23.05 (+1.27% on volume of 63,111 shares), positioning the stock -4.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.07) and -2.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.59). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $29.61, SEG sits at the 44.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($21.85 to $24.25).
SEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SEG stock moving today?
Why SEG Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-25% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.