Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While SDHC currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.62) and Max Pain ($11.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.66.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) advanced +1.94% to $10.52, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($9.71 – $23.49). Stretched risk/reward at 50x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ATLANTA, October 21, 2026--Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE: SDHC) ("Smith Douglas" or the "Company") will release its results for the third quarter of 2026 before the market opens on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. The Comp
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SDHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SDHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) ranks #761 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #579 by equity capitalization ($534.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with SDHC at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDHC
ACTIVE
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | 50.0x | 21.8% | 12.3% | +1.94% | $534.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.90% | $610.6M | /hov-vs-sdhc → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +1.87% | $688.0M | /legh-vs-sdhc → |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +3.29% | $909.0M | /dfh-vs-sdhc → |
| LGIH LGI Homes Inc. | D | 44/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +5.12% | $1.02B | /lgih-vs-sdhc → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) reported GAAP revenue of $971.1M (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $975.5M , and +27.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.7M, operating cash flow of -$31.3M, and free cash flow of -$36.9M (-341.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SDHC closed FY2025 with $557.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $971.1M | $10.7M | -$31.3M | -$36.9M | $557.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $975.5M | $16.1M | $19.1M | $15.2M | $475.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $764.6M | $0 | $76.3M | $76.3M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: SDHC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $10.52 (+1.94% 1D, market cap $534.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SDHC ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), SDHC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.0x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $610.6M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $688.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
Per SDHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001982518), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) generated $971.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $10.7M in net income, and -$36.9M in free cash flow against $557.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SDHC last traded at $10.52 (+1.94% on volume of 58,168 shares), positioning the stock -0.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.62) and -22.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.61). Across its 52-week range of $9.71 to $23.49, SDHC sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($9.57 to $11.47).
Why SDHC Stock advanced +1.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 50x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.