CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Emerson Among 14 Dividend Growth Companies To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In First Half Of NovemberEmerson may extend its 70-year dividend growth streak as earnings rebound.
Why SCL Stock surged +2.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$69.99 +2.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.15
Stepan Company (SCL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.59B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.15 (+0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SCL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SCL SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 3.4% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$61.03+1.6% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$62.03+3% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$63.91+9.5% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$69.99-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SCL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SCL faces multiple-compression risk if 33.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($63.00) or 200D SMA ($56.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($69.05) toward Bear Floor ($53.86).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SCL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SCL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SCL Stock surged +2.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Stepan Company (SCL) surged +2.31% to $69.99, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($41.82 – $70.81). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($41.82 – $70.81) with RSI-14 at 76.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.9% around $69.99 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 11.6% gross margin and $25.4M annual free cash flow.
Live SCL Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
NewMarket Just Raised Its Dividend 8.3%. Here Are 2 More Under-the-Radar Dividend StocksThree NYSE specialty companies raised their dividends within days of each other, and none of them made the usual headlines. One covers its payout nearly six times over with free cash flow, another just posted a 50% gain
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Will Dividend Raise Change Stepan (SCL) NarrativeStepan Company reported third quarter 2026 sales of US$692.15 million and net income of US$17.81 million, and declared a US$0.405 quarterly dividend payable on December 15, 2026, to shareholders of record on December 1,
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week November 1Get a weekly dividend summary for Champions, Contenders, and Challengers.
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Stepan (SCL) Could Be 18% Below Fair Value After Strong Q3 Results And Dividend HikeWhy Stepan Stock Is Back On Investors’ Radar Stepan (SCL) is drawing fresh attention after third quarter results showed higher sales, stronger earnings from continuing operations, and company wide organic volume growth,
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Stepan Company 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-30. The following slide deck was published by Stepan Company in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Stepan (SCL) Stock Looks Stretched Despite Its 68% One Year RunStepan shares have climbed strongly over the past year, which puts fresh attention on a simple question for you as an investor: Is the current price around its recent US$69.99 close supported by what the business is gene
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Stepan Co.: Q3 Earnings Snapshot(SCL) on Wednesday reported net income of $17.On a per-share basis, the Northbrook, Illinois-based company said it had profit of 78 cents.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Stepan (SCL) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptAdjusted EBITDA rose 18% on organic volume growth and Project Catalyst savings.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Stepan Company Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of Stepan Company's Q3 2026 earnings call
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SCL)
- ✓Walkthrough of SCL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SCL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.90%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $70.00H $70.81L $69.18C $69.99VOL 233.0K
RES: $64.05SUP: $58.41SMA50: $63.00SMA200: $56.89
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SCL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SCL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SCL)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #541 of 1011
⚔️ EPC vs SCL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SCL vs. EPC, ODD, COTY, IPAR)
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stepan Company (SCL) ranks #541 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #447 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with SCL at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCL
ACTIVE
Stepan Company | D+ | 55/100 | 33.9x | 11.6% | 4.3% | +2.31% | $1.59B | Benchmark Subject |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | C- | 60/100 | 51.8x | 41.6% | 2.5% | +3.25% | $1.32B | /epc-vs-scl → |
| ODD ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) | B+ | 77/100 | 11.1x | 72.7% | 85.0% | +3.93% | $1.23B | /odd-vs-scl → |
| COTY Coty Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | 64.8% | 3.1% | -0.30% | $2.95B | /coty-vs-scl → |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 17.8x | 63.6% | 21.3% | +1.10% | $3.70B | /ipar-vs-scl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000094049In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Stepan Company (SCL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.33B (+7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.18B , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.9M, operating cash flow of $147.9M, and free cash flow of $25.4M (-35.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SCL closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $341.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.33B | $46.9M | $147.9M | $25.4M | $2.36B | $341.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.18B | $50.4M | $162.1M | $39.3M | $2.30B | $332.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.33B | $40.2M | $174.9M | $174.9M | — | — |
3. SCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Stepan Company (NYSE: SCL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $69.99 (+2.31% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SCL ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SCL compare to EPC and ODD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), SCL carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.9x, gross margin of 11.6%, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, EPC (Edgewell Personal Care Company) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 51.8x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $1.32B) and ODD (ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SCL?
Per SCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000094049), Stepan Company generated $2.33B in revenue (+7.0% YoY), $46.9M in net income, and $25.4M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $341.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SCL last traded at $69.99 (+2.31% on volume of 158,715 shares), positioning the stock +11.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($63.00) and +23.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($56.89). Across its 52-week range of $41.82 to $70.81, SCL sits at the 97.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($65.86 to $74.12).
SCL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SCL stock moving today?
Why SCL Stock surged +2.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.