Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SBGI / options

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Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.70 +3.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.77

Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $918.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.77 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SBGI SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($115.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$12.73-1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$12.52-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$12.39+2.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$12.70+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBGI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SBGI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.22) or 200D SMA ($14.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.81) toward Bear Floor ($9.99).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SBGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SBGI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SBGI.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SBGI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SBGI
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SBGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.33%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $12.84H $12.89L $12.64C $12.70VOL 503.3K

RES: $13.80SUP: $11.75SMA50: $13.22SMA200: $14.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SBGI Butterfly Map → + Track SBGI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBGI)

Communication Services Rank #37 of 132 ⚔️ NMAX vs SBGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SBGI vs. NMAX, TV, EVC, GTN)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #65 by equity capitalization ($918.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBGI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SBGI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SBGI ACTIVE Sinclair Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	—	85.0%	+3.93%	$918.4M	Benchmark Subject
NMAX Newsmax Inc. (Class B)	E	25/100	—	39.3%	-35.0%	+0.37%	$1.05B	/nmax-vs-sbgi →
TV Grupo Televisa S.A.B.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.38%	$1.32B	/tv-vs-sbgi →
EVC Entravision Communications Corporation	D-	37/100	—	58.9%	-35.0%	+2.45%	$578.6M	/evc-vs-sbgi →
GTN Gray Media Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	4.1%	+4.20%	$460.3M	/gtn-vs-sbgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001971213

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) reported GAAP revenue of $3.17B (-10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.55B , and +1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$99.0M, operating cash flow of $189.0M, and free cash flow of $115.0M (+721.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBGI closed FY2025 with $5.95B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.17B	-$99.0M	$189.0M	$115.0M	$5.95B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.55B	$319.0M	$98.0M	$14.0M	$5.88B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.13B	-$279.0M	$235.0M	$235.0M	—	—

3. SBGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SBGI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $12.70 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $918.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SBGI ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SBGI compare to NMAX and TV in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SBGI carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NMAX (Newsmax Inc. (Class B)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.05B) and TV (Grupo Televisa S.A.B.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBGI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBGI?

Per SBGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001971213), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) generated $3.17B in revenue (-10.7% YoY), -$99.0M in net income, and $115.0M in free cash flow against $5.95B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SBGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBGI last traded at $12.70 (+3.93% on volume of 561,605 shares), positioning the stock -3.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.22) and -9.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.07). Across its 52-week range of $11.83 to $17.88, SBGI sits at the 14.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($11.73 to $13.67).