MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SBGI Stock surged +3.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.70 +3.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.77
Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $918.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.77 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SBGI SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($115.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$12.73-1.6% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$12.52-1% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$12.39+2.5% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$12.70+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SBGI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SBGI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.22) or 200D SMA ($14.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.81) toward Bear Floor ($9.99).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SBGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SBGI Stock surged +3.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) surged +3.93% to $12.70, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($11.83 – $17.88). Solid steady margins (85% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($11.83 – $17.88) with RSI-14 at 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $12.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $115.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SBGI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SBGI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SBGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.33%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $12.84H $12.89L $12.64C $12.70VOL 503.3K
RES: $13.80SUP: $11.75SMA50: $13.22SMA200: $14.07
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SBGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBGI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBGI)
Communication Services Rank #37 of 132
⚔️ NMAX vs SBGI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SBGI vs. NMAX, TV, EVC, GTN)
Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #65 by equity capitalization ($918.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBGI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SBGI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBGI
ACTIVE
Sinclair Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +3.93% | $918.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| NMAX Newsmax Inc. (Class B) | E | 25/100 | — | 39.3% | -35.0% | +0.37% | $1.05B | /nmax-vs-sbgi → |
| TV Grupo Televisa S.A.B. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.38% | $1.32B | /tv-vs-sbgi → |
| EVC Entravision Communications Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | 58.9% | -35.0% | +2.45% | $578.6M | /evc-vs-sbgi → |
| GTN Gray Media Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | 4.1% | +4.20% | $460.3M | /gtn-vs-sbgi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001971213In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) reported GAAP revenue of $3.17B (-10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.55B , and +1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$99.0M, operating cash flow of $189.0M, and free cash flow of $115.0M (+721.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBGI closed FY2025 with $5.95B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.17B | -$99.0M | $189.0M | $115.0M | $5.95B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.55B | $319.0M | $98.0M | $14.0M | $5.88B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.13B | -$279.0M | $235.0M | $235.0M | — | — |
3. SBGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SBGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SBGI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $12.70 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $918.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SBGI ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SBGI compare to NMAX and TV in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SBGI carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NMAX (Newsmax Inc. (Class B)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.05B) and TV (Grupo Televisa S.A.B.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBGI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBGI?
Per SBGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001971213), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) generated $3.17B in revenue (-10.7% YoY), -$99.0M in net income, and $115.0M in free cash flow against $5.95B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SBGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SBGI last traded at $12.70 (+3.93% on volume of 561,605 shares), positioning the stock -3.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.22) and -9.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.07). Across its 52-week range of $11.83 to $17.88, SBGI sits at the 14.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($11.73 to $13.67).
SBGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SBGI stock moving today?
Why SBGI Stock surged +3.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (85% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.