Stock Ratings / Industrials / RYZ / options

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Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$31.00 +4.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.19

Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.19 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RYZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RYZ SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($35.5M FCF) & 17.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$26.23+4.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$27.46+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$28.00+10.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$31.00-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RYZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RYZ currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.97) and Max Pain ($32.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RYZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RYZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RYZ)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RYZ.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RYZ)

✓Walkthrough of RYZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RYZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $30.21H $31.58L $30.21C $31.00VOL 662.1K

RES: $34.66SUP: $22.40SMA50: $25.97SMA200: $26.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RYZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RYZ Butterfly Map → + Track RYZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RYZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RYZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RYZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RYZ)

Industrials Rank #250 of 485 ⚔️ TSAT vs RYZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RYZ vs. TSAT, PRLB, KALU, NWCL)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) ranks #250 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #225 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KALU leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while KALU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.9% ROIC and 13.1% gross margin. KALU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RYZ at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RYZ ACTIVE Ryerson Holding Corporation	D+	54/100	—	17.1%	-3.4%	+4.48%	$1.60B	Benchmark Subject
TSAT Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-6.65%	$1.54B	/tsat-vs-ryz →
PRLB Proto Labs Inc.	D	48/100	87.4x	44.5%	3.5%	-14.60%	$1.86B	/prlb-vs-ryz →
KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation	C	63/100	17.3x	13.1%	7.9%	-0.84%	$1.96B	/kalu-vs-ryz →
NWCL newcleo plc	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.91%	$1.30B	/nwcl-vs-ryz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001481582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) reported GAAP revenue of $4.57B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.60B , and -10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$56.4M, operating cash flow of $87.0M, and free cash flow of $35.5M (-66.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RYZ closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.57B	-$56.4M	$87.0M	$35.5M	$2.40B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.60B	-$8.6M	$204.9M	$105.3M	$2.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$5.11B	$145.7M	$365.1M	$365.1M	—	—

3. RYZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RYZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ryerson Holding Corporation (NYSE: RYZ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $31.00 (+4.48% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RYZ ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RYZ compare to TSAT and PRLB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), RYZ carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, TSAT (Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and PRLB (Proto Labs Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 87.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KALU leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while KALU leads on capital efficiency (7.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYZ?

Per RYZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001481582), Ryerson Holding Corporation generated $4.57B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$56.4M in net income, and $35.5M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RYZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RYZ last traded at $31.00 (+4.48% on volume of 675,443 shares), positioning the stock +19.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($25.97) and +17.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.41). Across its 52-week range of $19.34 to $32.00, RYZ sits at the 92.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 79.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($28.58 to $33.42).

RYZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RYZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RYZ.

Direct Sub-Reports: RYZ RQD Cockpit RYZ 12M Forecast RYZ Earnings & Move RYZ Dividends & DRIP RYZ Insiders & 13F RYZ Whale Options RYZ Profit Sankey RYZ News & Why