Stock Ratings / Industrials / RYZ / earnings

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Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$31.00 +4.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.19

Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.19 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RYZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RYZ SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($35.5M FCF) & 17.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$26.23+4.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$27.46+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$28.00+10.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$31.00-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RYZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RYZ currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.97) and Max Pain ($32.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RYZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RYZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$2.42 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RYZ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.6%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.57B	-$56.4M	$35.5M	17.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$4.60B	-$8.6M	$105.3M	18.1%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$5.11B	$145.7M	$365.1M	17.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RYZ)

✓Walkthrough of RYZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RYZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $30.21H $31.58L $30.21C $31.00VOL 662.1K

RES: $34.66SUP: $22.40SMA50: $25.97SMA200: $26.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RYZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RYZ Butterfly Map → + Track RYZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RYZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RYZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RYZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RYZ)

Industrials Rank #250 of 485 ⚔️ TSAT vs RYZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RYZ vs. TSAT, PRLB, KALU, NWCL)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) ranks #250 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #225 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KALU leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while KALU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.9% ROIC and 13.1% gross margin. KALU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RYZ at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RYZ ACTIVE Ryerson Holding Corporation	D+	54/100	—	17.1%	-3.4%	+4.48%	$1.60B	Benchmark Subject
TSAT Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-6.65%	$1.54B	/tsat-vs-ryz →
PRLB Proto Labs Inc.	D	48/100	87.4x	44.5%	3.5%	-14.60%	$1.86B	/prlb-vs-ryz →
KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation	C	63/100	17.3x	13.1%	7.9%	-0.84%	$1.96B	/kalu-vs-ryz →
NWCL newcleo plc	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.91%	$1.30B	/nwcl-vs-ryz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001481582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) reported GAAP revenue of $4.57B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.60B , and -10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$56.4M, operating cash flow of $87.0M, and free cash flow of $35.5M (-66.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RYZ closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.57B	-$56.4M	$87.0M	$35.5M	$2.40B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.60B	-$8.6M	$204.9M	$105.3M	$2.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$5.11B	$145.7M	$365.1M	$365.1M	—	—

3. RYZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RYZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ryerson Holding Corporation (NYSE: RYZ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $31.00 (+4.48% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RYZ ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RYZ compare to TSAT and PRLB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), RYZ carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, TSAT (Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and PRLB (Proto Labs Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 87.4x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KALU leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while KALU leads on capital efficiency (7.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYZ?

Per RYZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001481582), Ryerson Holding Corporation generated $4.57B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$56.4M in net income, and $35.5M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RYZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RYZ last traded at $31.00 (+4.48% on volume of 675,443 shares), positioning the stock +19.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($25.97) and +17.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.41). Across its 52-week range of $19.34 to $32.00, RYZ sits at the 92.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 79.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($28.58 to $33.42).

RYZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RYZ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RYZ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for RYZ, spanning a range between $28.58 and $33.42.

Direct Sub-Reports: RYZ RQD Cockpit RYZ 12M Forecast RYZ Earnings & Move RYZ Dividends & DRIP RYZ Insiders & 13F RYZ Whale Options RYZ Profit Sankey RYZ News & Why