MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
Iranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says - ReutersIranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says Reuters
Why RYAM Stock slipped -1.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.61 -1.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.58
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $452.5M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RYAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (NYSE: RYAM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $6.61 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $452.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, RYAM ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RYAM compare to MAGN and MATV in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Paper), RYAM carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.1%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, MAGN (Magnera Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $432.5M) and MATV (Mativ Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.2%, cap $620.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAM?
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Per RYAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001597672), Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-10.1% YoY), -$420.7M in net income, and $23.9M in free cash flow against $1.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.58 (-0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RYAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RYAM SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (31% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.6% FCF Margin ($23.9M FCF) & 8.1% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$7.16-4.1% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$6.87-5.7% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$6.48+2% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D-$6.61-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RYAM Turnaround Squeeze
While RYAM currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.75) and Max Pain ($6.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.44.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RYAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RYAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RYAM Stock slipped -1.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) slipped -1.20% to $6.61, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($5.38 – $11.85). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($5.38 – $11.85) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $6.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 8.1% gross margin and $23.9M annual free cash flow.
Live RYAM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
China's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict - ReutersChina's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Saudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities - ReutersSaudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
World's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says - ReutersWorld's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Gold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms - ReutersGold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
China's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry - ReutersChina's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Reliance earnings, lower oil prices power India's Sensex to near two-month high - ReutersReliance earnings, lower oil prices power India's Sensex to near two-month high Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RYAM)
- ✓Walkthrough of RYAM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RYAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.47%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $6.74H $6.74L $6.61C $6.61VOL 1.67M
RES: $8.99SUP: $6.41SMA50: $7.75SMA200: $8.66
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RYAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RYAM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RYAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RYAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RYAM)
Materials Rank #202 of 270
⚔️ MAGN vs RYAM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (RYAM vs. MAGN, MATV, CLW, SLVM)
Industry: Paper (7 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #180 by equity capitalization ($452.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLVM leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while SLVM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SLVM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RYAM at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RYAM
ACTIVE
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 8.1% | 1.3% | -1.20% | $452.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| MAGN Magnera Corporation | D- | 43/100 | — | 10.5% | 0.1% | -2.32% | $432.5M | /magn-vs-ryam → |
| MATV Mativ Holdings Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 18.3% | -21.2% | +0.80% | $620.9M | /matv-vs-ryam → |
| CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation | E | 32/100 | — | 7.4% | -2.9% | +2.23% | $209.5M | /clw-vs-ryam → |
| SLVM Sylvamo Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 9.7x | — | 20.5% | -0.25% | $1.29B | /slvm-vs-ryam → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001597672In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.63B , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$420.7M, operating cash flow of $23.9M, and free cash flow of $23.9M (-88.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RYAM closed FY2025 with $1.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.47B | -$420.7M | $23.9M | $23.9M | $1.76B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.63B | -$38.7M | $203.6M | $203.6M | $2.13B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.64B | -$101.8M | $136.3M | $136.3M | — | — |
3. RYAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RYAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (NYSE: RYAM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $6.61 (-1.20% 1D, market cap $452.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, RYAM ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RYAM compare to MAGN and MATV in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Paper), RYAM carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 8.1%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, MAGN (Magnera Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $432.5M) and MATV (Mativ Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.2%, cap $620.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAM?
Per RYAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001597672), Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-10.1% YoY), -$420.7M in net income, and $23.9M in free cash flow against $1.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RYAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RYAM last traded at $6.61 (-1.20% on volume of 1,159,736 shares), positioning the stock -14.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.75) and -23.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.66). Across its 52-week range of $5.38 to $11.85, RYAM sits at the 19.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($6.02 to $7.20).
RYAM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RYAM stock moving today?
Why RYAM Stock slipped -1.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.