MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 7d ago
RTB Digital: The Binary Is Itself Reflexive, Risky With Higher Costs Of CapitalWhy RTB Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.93 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.93
RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $118.6M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RTB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, RTB Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: RTB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $7.93 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $118.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RTB ranks #809 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RTB compare to EGG and AUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), RTB carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGG (Enigmatig Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $140.3M) and AUC (ATIF Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.9%, cap $173.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RTB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AUC leads on capital efficiency (-17.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RTB?
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Per RTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419275), RTB Digital Inc. generated $11.1M in revenue (-38.7% YoY), -$17.5M in net income, and -$23.1M in free cash flow against $28.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.93 (+0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RTB SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (27% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$8.15-4.9% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$7.75+2.5% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$7.94-0.1% Next Q
44
CurrentGrade D-$7.93-7.2% Hist 90D α
41
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RTB Turnaround Squeeze
While RTB currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.29) and Max Pain ($8.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.79.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RTB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RTB Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) advanced +1.15% to $7.93, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($3.25 – $20.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($3.25 – $20.75) with RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 47.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RTB Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RTB)
- ✓Walkthrough of RTB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.64%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.75H $8.00L $7.29C $7.93VOL 33.6K
RES: $14.08SUP: $7.26SMA50: $9.29SMA200: $8.76
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -38.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RTB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RTB)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #809 of 1011
⚔️ EGG vs RTB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RTB vs. EGG, AUC, TTEC, MHH)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) ranks #809 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #744 by equity capitalization ($118.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RTB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AUC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -17.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with RTB at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTB
ACTIVE
RTB Digital Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 47.7% | -35.0% | +1.15% | $118.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| EGG Enigmatig Limited (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | 68.8% | — | +4.13% | $140.3M | /egg-vs-rtb → |
| AUC ATIF Holdings Limited | D | 46/100 | — | — | -17.9% | +10.28% | $173.3M | /auc-vs-rtb → |
| TTEC TTEC Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.53% | $77.4M | /ttec-vs-rtb → |
| MHH Mastech Digital Inc | C | 64/100 | — | 27.7% | 0.0% | -0.47% | $76.0M | /mhh-vs-rtb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001419275In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) reported GAAP revenue of $11.1M (-38.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.2M , and -83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.0M, and free cash flow of -$23.1M (-209.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RTB closed FY2025 with $28.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.1M | -$17.5M | -$23.0M | -$23.1M | $28.5M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $18.2M | -$26.8M | $21.2M | $21.1M | $122.3M | $17.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $65.9M | -$53.1M | $33.2M | $33.2M | — | — |
3. RTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, RTB Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: RTB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $7.93 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $118.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RTB ranks #809 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RTB compare to EGG and AUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), RTB carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGG (Enigmatig Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $140.3M) and AUC (ATIF Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.9%, cap $173.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RTB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AUC leads on capital efficiency (-17.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RTB?
Per RTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419275), RTB Digital Inc. generated $11.1M in revenue (-38.7% YoY), -$17.5M in net income, and -$23.1M in free cash flow against $28.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RTB last traded at $7.93 (+1.15% on volume of 22,968 shares), positioning the stock -14.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.29) and -9.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $20.75, RTB sits at the 26.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.94 to $8.92).
RTB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RTB stock moving today?
Why RTB Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.