RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$7.93 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.93

RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $118.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.93 (+0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$22 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE RTB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RTB SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$8.15-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$7.75+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$7.94-0.1% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$7.93-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RTB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RTB currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.29) and Max Pain ($8.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RTB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RTB Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$11.1MGross Profit $5.3M (47.7%)Cost of Sales $5.8MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $5.3MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $65.9M
FY24
Rev $18.2M
FY25
Rev $11.1M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$11.1M47.7%-80%-$17.5M-$23.1M-39.8%
FY 2024$18.2M40.7%-80%-$26.8M$21.1M-45%
FY 2023$65.9M47.7%-18.7%-$53.1M$33.2M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RTB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RTB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.64%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.75H $8.00L $7.29C $7.93VOL 33.6K
RES: $14.08SUP: $7.26SMA50: $9.29SMA200: $8.76
$21.98$16.90$11.83$6.75$1.68RES $14.08SUP $7.26$7.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -38.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RTB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RTB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #809 of 1011 ⚔️ EGG vs RTB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RTB vs. EGG, AUC, TTEC, MHH)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) ranks #809 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #744 by equity capitalization ($118.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RTB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AUC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -17.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with RTB at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RTB ACTIVE
RTB Digital Inc.
D- 41/100 — 47.7% -35.0% +1.15% $118.6M Benchmark Subject
EGG
Enigmatig Limited (Class A)
D 48/100 — 68.8% — +4.13% $140.3M /egg-vs-rtb →
AUC
ATIF Holdings Limited
D 46/100 — — -17.9% +10.28% $173.3M /auc-vs-rtb →
TTEC
TTEC Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — — -35.0% +7.53% $77.4M /ttec-vs-rtb →
MHH
Mastech Digital Inc
C 64/100 — 27.7% 0.0% -0.47% $76.0M /mhh-vs-rtb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001419275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), RTB Digital Inc. (RTB) reported GAAP revenue of $11.1M (-38.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.2M , and -83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.0M, and free cash flow of -$23.1M (-209.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RTB closed FY2025 with $28.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.1M -$17.5M -$23.0M -$23.1M $28.5M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.2M -$26.8M $21.2M $21.1M $122.3M $17.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $65.9M -$53.1M $33.2M $33.2M — —

3. RTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, RTB Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: RTB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $7.93 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $118.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RTB ranks #809 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RTB compare to EGG and AUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), RTB carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGG (Enigmatig Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $140.3M) and AUC (ATIF Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.9%, cap $173.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RTB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AUC leads on capital efficiency (-17.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RTB?

Per RTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419275), RTB Digital Inc. generated $11.1M in revenue (-38.7% YoY), -$17.5M in net income, and -$23.1M in free cash flow against $28.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RTB last traded at $7.93 (+1.15% on volume of 22,968 shares), positioning the stock -14.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.29) and -9.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $20.75, RTB sits at the 26.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.94 to $8.92).

RTB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is RTB Digital Inc. (RTB)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), RTB converted $11.1M of revenue into a 47.7% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

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