Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$49.15 -0.10% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.05

Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.17B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RRR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $49.15 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $5.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRR ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RRR compare to BYD and CHH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), RRR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.12B) and CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CHH leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRR?
β–Ό

Per RRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653653), Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) generated $2.01B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $355.7M in net income, and $609.5M in free cash flow against $4.17B in total assets and $3.38B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.05 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 30.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$72 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RRR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RRR SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.3% FCF Margin ($609.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$50.18-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$49.89+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$50.26-2.2% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$49.15-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RRR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RRR currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($52.33) and Max Pain ($51.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $72.44.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RRRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RRR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RRR.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RRR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RRR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.90%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $48.42H $49.20L $48.42C $49.15VOL 586.6K
RES: $65.23SUP: $46.77SMA50: $52.33SMA200: $58.00
$69.56$63.56$57.56$51.56$45.56RES $65.23SUP $46.77$49.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RRR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #539 of 1011 βš”οΈ BYD vs RRR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RRR vs. BYD, CHH, WH, CZR)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #265 by equity capitalization ($5.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while CHH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RRR at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RRR ACTIVE
Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 14.5x β€” 13.7% -0.10% $5.17B Benchmark Subject
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
D+ 53/100 β€” β€” 13.7% +0.55% $5.12B /byd-vs-rrr β†’
CHH
Choice Hotels International Inc.
C- 59/100 13.8x β€” 17.3% -1.60% $5.10B /chh-vs-rrr β†’
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 56/100 29.1x β€” 16.2% -2.25% $5.61B /wh-vs-rrr β†’
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” 10.3% -0.14% $5.94B /czr-vs-rrr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001653653

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.01B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.94B , and +16.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $355.7M, operating cash flow of $609.5M, and free cash flow of $609.5M (+11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRR closed FY2025 with $4.17B in total assets against $3.38B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.81, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.01B $355.7M $609.5M $609.5M $4.17B $3.38B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.94B $291.3M $548.3M $548.3M $4.05B $3.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.72B $337.8M $494.3M $494.3M β€” β€”

3. RRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RRR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $49.15 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $5.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRR ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RRR compare to BYD and CHH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), RRR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.12B) and CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CHH leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRR?

Per RRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653653), Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) generated $2.01B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $355.7M in net income, and $609.5M in free cash flow against $4.17B in total assets and $3.38B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RRR last traded at $49.15 (-0.10% on volume of 559,140 shares), positioning the stock -6.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($52.33) and -15.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($58.00). Across its 52-week range of $47.42 to $68.99, RRR sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.3% ($46.05 to $52.25).

RRR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is RRR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for RRR.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RRR β€” Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T14:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) carries a composite score of 51/100 (D β€” Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) at a current price of $49.15 (-0.10%). Fundamental cash generation scores 13/20 (ROIC 13.7%, FCF yield 11.80%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 4/20, insider conviction scores 17/20, macro regime alignment scores 7/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 10/20 (Altman Z-Score 1.81, Piotroski F-Score 6/9).

Investor Implication: At 14.5x trailing P/E and 13.5x forward P/E within Hotels/Resorts, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (29.7%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $47.42 – $68.99.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), RRR is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin β€”), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

RRR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RRR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RRR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $49.15?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RRR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RRR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $53.14 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RRR (D β€’ RQD 51/100) a Buy at $49.20?

Welcome to the RRR (Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.38 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $49.20

Pump the brakes on RRR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RRR, but look at what you are paying: 14.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $56.58 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $49.20

RRR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RRR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $49.20 (52-wk range $47.42 - $68.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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