Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RRR / forecast

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Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$49.20 +1.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.25

Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.17B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RRR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RRR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $49.20 (+1.61% 1D, market cap $5.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRR ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RRR compare to BYD and CHH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), RRR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.12B) and CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CHH leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRR?

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Per RRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653653), Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) generated $2.01B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $355.7M in net income, and $609.5M in free cash flow against $4.17B in total assets and $3.38B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.25 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 30.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RRR SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.3% FCF Margin ($609.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$50.18-0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$49.89+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$50.26-2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$49.20-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RRR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RRR currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($52.33) and Max Pain ($51.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $72.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RRR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RRR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $49.20: 203.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.17

$7,555

$-2,445 (-24.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $47.65

$9,685

$-315 (-3.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $72.44

$14,724

+$4,724 (+47.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$50	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$68	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$42	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RRR)

✓Walkthrough of RRR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $48.42H $49.20L $48.42C $49.20VOL 586.6K

RES: $65.23SUP: $46.77SMA50: $52.33SMA200: $58.00

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RRR Butterfly Map → + Track RRR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RRR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #539 of 1011 ⚔️ BYD vs RRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RRR vs. BYD, CHH, WH, CZR)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #265 by equity capitalization ($5.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while CHH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with RRR at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RRR ACTIVE Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	14.5x	—	13.7%	+1.61%	$5.17B	Benchmark Subject
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	13.7%	+2.35%	$5.12B	/byd-vs-rrr →
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc.	C-	59/100	13.8x	—	17.3%	+2.68%	$5.10B	/chh-vs-rrr →
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	56/100	29.1x	—	16.2%	+3.47%	$5.61B	/wh-vs-rrr →
CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	10.3%	+1.96%	$5.94B	/czr-vs-rrr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653653

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.01B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.94B , and +16.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $355.7M, operating cash flow of $609.5M, and free cash flow of $609.5M (+11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRR closed FY2025 with $4.17B in total assets against $3.38B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.81, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.01B	$355.7M	$609.5M	$609.5M	$4.17B	$3.38B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.94B	$291.3M	$548.3M	$548.3M	$4.05B	$3.35B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.72B	$337.8M	$494.3M	$494.3M	—	—

3. RRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RRR compare to BYD and CHH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RRR?

Where is RRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RRR last traded at $49.20 (+1.61% on volume of 586,648 shares), positioning the stock -5.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($52.33) and -15.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($58.00). Across its 52-week range of $47.42 to $68.99, RRR sits at the 8.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($46.10 to $52.30).

RRR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is RRR's 12-month stock price target?

Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A) (RRR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $47.65 (-3.2% from $49.20), with a bull-case target of $72.44 and a bear-case floor of $37.17.

Is RRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates RRR D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 51/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: RRR RQD Cockpit RRR 12M Forecast RRR Earnings & Move RRR Dividends & DRIP RRR Insiders & 13F RRR Whale Options RRR Profit Sankey RRR News & Why