Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $9.33 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $176.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRGB ranks #485 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RRGB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M) and JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RICK leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per RRGB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001171759), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), -$23.3M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $563.5M in total assets and $164.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.1% FCF Margin ($37.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, RRGB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.35) or 200D SMA ($5.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.29) toward Bear Floor ($7.25).
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) surged +3.78% to $9.33, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $10.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Wendy's (WEN) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions could translate into further price increase in the near term.
Restaurant Brands (QSR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +1.85% and -0.43%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., a casual dining restaurant chain serving an innovative selection of high-quality gourmet burgers in a family-friendly atmosphere, together with JCP Investment Management, LLC (“JCP”) and
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) ("Red Robin" or the "Company"), a casual dining restaurant chain serving an innovative selection of high-quality gourmet burgers in a family-friendly atmosphere, together wi
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRGB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRGB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) ranks #485 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #709 by equity capitalization ($176.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RICK leads on earnings valuation at 20.0x trailing P/E, while BDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with RRGB at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRGB
ACTIVE
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 5.7% | +3.78% | $176.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 20.0x | — | 5.6% | +0.46% | $216.6M | /rick-vs-rrgb → |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +9.40% | $249.9M | /jack-vs-rrgb → |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 85.7% | 4.3% | +5.45% | $283.2M | /play-vs-rrgb → |
| BDL Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 21.4x | — | 8.2% | +7.62% | $107.6M | /bdl-vs-rrgb → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.25B , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.3M, operating cash flow of $37.0M, and free cash flow of $37.0M (+425.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRGB closed FY2025 with $563.5M in total assets against $164.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.65, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $1.21B | -$23.3M | $37.0M | $37.0M | $563.5M | $164.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $1.25B | -$77.5M | $7.0M | $7.0M | $641.3M | $181.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.30B | -$21.2M | -$1.2M | -$1.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $9.33 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $176.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRGB ranks #485 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RRGB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M) and JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RICK leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per RRGB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001171759), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), -$23.3M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $563.5M in total assets and $164.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RRGB last traded at $9.33 (+3.78% on volume of 245,640 shares), positioning the stock +11.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.35) and +59.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.84). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $10.95, RRGB sits at the 80.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.16 to $10.50).
Why RRGB Stock surged +3.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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