MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why RPT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.33 +3.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.37
Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $89.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.37 (+0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (27% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$10.78-3.2% Next Q
29
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$10.43+6.6% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$11.12+1.9% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade D-$11.33-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPT Turnaround Squeeze
While RPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.59) and Max Pain ($11.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.84.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RPT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) surged +3.19% to $11.33, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($9.8 – $17.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($9.8 – $17.94) with RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $11.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RPT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPT)
- ✓Walkthrough of RPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
RPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.13%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $10.98H $11.33L $10.67C $11.33VOL 37.6K
RES: $14.89SUP: $10.50SMA50: $11.59SMA200: $13.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPT)
Financials Rank #1015 of 1096
⚔️ SUNS vs RPT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RPT vs. SUNS, BHR, ACR, CHMI)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) ranks #1015 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #973 by equity capitalization ($89.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CHMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RPT at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPT
ACTIVE
Rithm Property Trust Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -0.9% | +3.19% | $89.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| SUNS Sunrise Realty Trust Inc. | D- | 37/100 | 7.3x | — | 6.7% | -3.37% | $89.1M | /suns-vs-rpt → |
| BHR Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | 85.0% | -0.75% | $90.7M | /bhr-vs-rpt → |
| ACR ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. | D | 51/100 | — | — | 6.6% | +1.68% | $95.3M | /acr-vs-rpt → |
| CHMI Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation | C | 63/100 | — | — | — | +1.93% | $97.5M | /chmi-vs-rpt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001614806In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$8.3M (-2963.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPT closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$2.7M | -$8.3M | -$8.3M | $1.04B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$92.2M | $290.0K | $290.0K | $977.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$49.3M | -$46.5M | -$46.5M | — | — |
3. RPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $11.33 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $89.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1015 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RPT compare to SUNS and BHR in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.1M) and BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $90.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?
Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RPT last traded at $11.33 (+3.19% on volume of 21,879 shares), positioning the stock -2.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.59) and -16.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.53). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.94, RPT sits at the 18.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($10.43 to $12.23).
RPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RPT stock moving today?
Why RPT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.