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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell BHR stock right now?

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is BHR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BHR's 12-month base price target is $1.3 (range $1.01 to $3.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.32 -0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.32

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $90.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.32 (-0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 5.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BHR SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.8% FCF Margin ($40.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.21+18.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.43-1.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.41-6.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.32-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BHR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, BHR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.66) or 200D SMA ($2.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.30) toward Bear Floor ($1.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BHR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

31.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.32H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BHR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

85.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BHR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BHR)

✓Walkthrough of BHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $1.33H $1.37L $1.30C $1.32VOL 789.4K

RES: $1.37SUP: $1.00SMA50: $1.66SMA200: $2.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BHR Butterfly Map → + Track BHR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BHR)

Financials Rank #704 of 1096 ⚔️ RPT vs BHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BHR vs. RPT, SUNS, ACR, CHMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) ranks #704 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #970 by equity capitalization ($90.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CHMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BHR at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BHR ACTIVE Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	55/100	—	—	85.0%	-0.75%	$90.7M	Benchmark Subject
RPT Rithm Property Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-0.9%	+3.19%	$89.6M	/rpt-vs-bhr →
SUNS Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	7.3x	—	6.7%	-3.37%	$89.1M	/suns-vs-bhr →
ACR ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	6.6%	+1.68%	$95.3M	/acr-vs-bhr →
CHMI Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation	C	63/100	—	—	—	+1.93%	$97.5M	/chmi-vs-bhr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001574085

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) reported GAAP revenue of $704.0M (-3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $728.4M , and -4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.3M, operating cash flow of $40.8M, and free cash flow of $40.8M (-39.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BHR closed FY2025 with $1.86B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$704.0M	-$22.3M	$40.8M	$40.8M	$1.86B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$728.4M	-$1.7M	$66.8M	$66.8M	$2.14B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$739.3M	-$27.0M	$84.7M	$84.7M	—	—

3. BHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (NYSE: BHR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $1.32 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $90.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BHR ranks #704 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BHR compare to RPT and SUNS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BHR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, RPT (Rithm Property Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $89.6M) and SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHR?

Per BHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574085), Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. generated $704.0M in revenue (-3.3% YoY), -$22.3M in net income, and $40.8M in free cash flow against $1.86B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BHR last traded at $1.32 (-0.75% on volume of 316,821 shares), positioning the stock -20.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.66) and -41.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.26). Across its 52-week range of $1.18 to $3.19, BHR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.15 to $1.49).

BHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BHR stock right now?

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BHR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BHR's 12-month base price target is $1.3 (range $1.01 to $3.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BHR RQD Cockpit BHR 12M Forecast BHR Earnings & Move BHR Dividends & DRIP BHR Insiders & 13F BHR Whale Options BHR Profit Sankey BHR News & Why