Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$11.33 +3.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.37

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $89.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.37 (+0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (3)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$19 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE RPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$10.78-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$10.43+6.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$11.12+1.9% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$11.33-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.59) and Max Pain ($11.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.13%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $10.98H $11.33L $10.67C $11.33VOL 37.6K
RES: $14.89SUP: $10.50SMA50: $11.59SMA200: $13.53
$15.64$14.06$12.48$10.89$9.31RES $14.89SUP $10.50$11.332026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPT)

Financials Rank #1015 of 1096 ⚔️ SUNS vs RPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RPT vs. SUNS, BHR, ACR, CHMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) ranks #1015 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #973 by equity capitalization ($89.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CHMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RPT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPT ACTIVE
Rithm Property Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -0.9% +3.19% $89.6M Benchmark Subject
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 7.3x — 6.7% -3.37% $89.1M /suns-vs-rpt →
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — 85.0% -0.75% $90.7M /bhr-vs-rpt →
ACR
ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
D 51/100 — — 6.6% +1.68% $95.3M /acr-vs-rpt →
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation
C 63/100 — — — +1.93% $97.5M /chmi-vs-rpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001614806

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$8.3M (-2963.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPT closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$2.7M -$8.3M -$8.3M $1.04B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$92.2M $290.0K $290.0K $977.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$49.3M -$46.5M -$46.5M — —

3. RPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $11.33 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $89.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1015 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPT compare to SUNS and BHR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.1M) and BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $90.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?

Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPT last traded at $11.33 (+3.19% on volume of 21,879 shares), positioning the stock -2.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.59) and -16.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.53). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.94, RPT sits at the 18.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($10.43 to $12.23).

RPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does RPT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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