MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why RICK Stock advanced +0.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$28.33 +0.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.30
RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $216.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.30 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 17.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RICK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RICK SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$26.07-1.5% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$25.67+5.8% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$27.16+4.3% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$28.33-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RICK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, RICK faces multiple-compression risk if 20.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.87) or 200D SMA ($25.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($27.95) toward Bear Floor ($21.80).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RICK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RICK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RICK Stock advanced +0.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) advanced +0.46% to $28.33, trading at 67% of its 52-week range ($20.76 – $32). Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 67% of its 52-week range ($20.76 – $32) with RSI-14 at 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.8% around $28.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $49.4M annual free cash flow.
Live RICK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RICK)
- ✓Walkthrough of RICK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RICK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.23%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $28.39H $28.47L $27.82C $28.33VOL 36.0K
RES: $35.71SUP: $25.20SMA50: $27.87SMA200: $25.79
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RICK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RICK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RICK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RICK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RICK)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #549 of 1011
⚔️ JACK vs RICK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RICK vs. JACK, RRGB, PLAY, PTLO)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) ranks #549 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #683 by equity capitalization ($216.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RICK at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICK
ACTIVE
RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 20.0x | — | 5.6% | +0.46% | $216.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +9.40% | $249.9M | /jack-vs-rick → |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 5.7% | +3.78% | $176.4M | /rrgb-vs-rick → |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 85.7% | 4.3% | +5.45% | $283.2M | /play-vs-rick → |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | 17.9x | — | 4.9% | +10.96% | $376.7M | /ptlo-vs-rick → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000935419In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (RICK) reported GAAP revenue of $279.4M (-5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $295.6M , and -4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.8M, operating cash flow of $49.4M, and free cash flow of $49.4M (-11.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, RICK closed FY2025 with $590.3M in total assets against $222.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $279.4M | $10.8M | $49.4M | $49.4M | $590.3M | $222.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $295.6M | $3.0M | $55.9M | $55.9M | $586.2M | $217.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $293.8M | $29.1M | $59.1M | $59.1M | — | — |
3. RICK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RICK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RICK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $28.33 (+0.46% 1D, market cap $216.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RICK ranks #549 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RICK compare to JACK and RRGB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RICK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.9M) and RRGB (Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $176.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RICK?
Per RICK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000935419), RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. generated $279.4M in revenue (-5.5% YoY), $10.8M in net income, and $49.4M in free cash flow against $590.3M in total assets and $222.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RICK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RICK last traded at $28.33 (+0.46% on volume of 29,232 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.87) and +9.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.79). Across its 52-week range of $20.76 to $32.00, RICK sits at the 67.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($26.40 to $30.26).
RICK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is RICK stock moving today?
Why RICK Stock advanced +0.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.