Why RDVT Stock dropped -2.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$80.46 -2.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.31

Red Violet Inc. (RDVT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.29B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RDVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Red Violet Inc. (NASDAQ: RDVT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $80.46 (-2.35% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDVT ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDVT compare to BBAI and GTM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RDVT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 98.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.29B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDVT?
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Per RDVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001720116), Red Violet Inc. generated $90.3M in revenue (+20.0% YoY), $13.2M in net income, and $28.8M in free cash flow against $112.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 98x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.32 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 31.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$100 Bull$85 Base$66 Bear
📬 FREE RDVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDVT SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.9% FCF Margin ($28.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$80.17-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$74.49+7.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$80.12+0.4% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$80.46+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, RDVT faces multiple-compression risk if 98.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 98x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($76.81) or 200D SMA ($57.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.80) toward Bear Floor ($65.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDVT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDVT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
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Why RDVT Stock dropped -2.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Red Violet Inc. (RDVT) dropped -2.35% to $80.46, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($33.4 – $83.15). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($33.4 – $83.15) with RSI-14 at 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $80.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $28.8M annual free cash flow.
Live RDVT Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RDVT Tape Review)

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RDVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +100.15%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $82.40H $82.40L $80.46C $80.46VOL 169.1K
RES: $89.39SUP: $74.74SMA50: $76.81SMA200: $57.13
$86.31$73.23$60.15$47.08$34.00RES $89.39SUP $74.74$80.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDVT)

Technology Rank #98 of 714 ⚔️ BBAI vs RDVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RDVT vs. BBAI, GTM, COUR, ALKT)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red Violet Inc. (RDVT) ranks #98 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #336 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTM leads on earnings valuation at 10.5x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RDVT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDVT ACTIVE
Red Violet Inc.
B- 70/100 98.2x — 16.1% -2.35% $1.29B Benchmark Subject
BBAI
BigBear.ai Inc.
E 28/100 — 22.3% -27.5% +8.54% $1.29B /bbai-vs-rdvt →
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 53/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% +1.13% $1.30B /gtm-vs-rdvt →
COUR
Coursera Inc.
D 44/100 — 54.6% -35.0% -0.85% $1.23B /cour-vs-rdvt →
ALKT
Alkami Technology Inc.
E 32/100 — 57.8% -14.2% -18.29% $1.36B /alkt-vs-rdvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001720116

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Red Violet Inc. (RDVT) reported GAAP revenue of $90.3M (+20.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $75.2M , and +49.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.2M, operating cash flow of $29.3M, and free cash flow of $28.8M (+21.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDVT closed FY2025 with $112.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $90.3M $13.2M $29.3M $28.8M $112.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $75.2M $7.0M $24.0M $23.8M $98.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $60.2M $13.5M $15.1M $15.1M — —

3. RDVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Red Violet Inc. (NASDAQ: RDVT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $80.46 (-2.35% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDVT ranks #98 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDVT compare to BBAI and GTM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RDVT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 98.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.29B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDVT?

Per RDVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001720116), Red Violet Inc. generated $90.3M in revenue (+20.0% YoY), $13.2M in net income, and $28.8M in free cash flow against $112.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 98x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDVT last traded at $80.46 (-2.35% on volume of 169,054 shares), positioning the stock +4.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.81) and +40.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($57.13). Across its 52-week range of $33.40 to $83.15, RDVT sits at the 94.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($74.51 to $86.41).

RDVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is RDVT stock moving today?

Why RDVT Stock dropped -2.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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