Why RCEL Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$16.71 +1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $516.8M
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Why RCEL Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) advanced +1.27% to $16.71, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($3.22 – $16.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($3.22 – $16.9) with RSI-14 at 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $16.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 82.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
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RCEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +286.81%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $16.54H $16.71L $15.24C $16.71VOL 596.6K
RES: $14.33SUP: $5.55SMA50: $12.21SMA200: $6.55
$17.82$14.00$10.18$6.36$2.54RES $14.33SUP $5.55$16.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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RCEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

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No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCEL)

Health Care Rank #506 of 1016 ⚔️ SENS vs RCEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RCEL vs. SENS, ANGO, DCTH, SGHT)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) ranks #506 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #442 by equity capitalization ($516.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCEL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DCTH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.8% ROIC and 86.2% gross margin. DCTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RCEL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RCEL ACTIVE
Avita Medical Inc.
D 44/100 — 82.1% -35.0% +1.27% $516.8M Benchmark Subject
SENS
Senseonics Holdings Inc.
D- 38/100 — 44.7% -35.0% +4.39% $515.5M /sens-vs-rcel →
ANGO
AngioDynamics Inc.
D 50/100 — 54.6% -23.4% +1.81% $519.4M /ango-vs-rcel →
DCTH
Delcath Systems Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 86.2% 0.8% -1.48% $508.0M /dcth-vs-rcel →
SGHT
Sight Sciences Inc.
D- 38/100 — 86.2% -35.0% +3.57% $527.2M /sght-vs-rcel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001762303

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $64.3M , and +42.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$48.6M, operating cash flow of -$31.2M, and free cash flow of -$32.2M (+44.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCEL closed FY2025 with $56.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $71.6M -$48.6M -$31.2M -$32.2M $56.4M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $64.3M -$61.8M -$48.9M -$58.1M $79.7M $42.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $50.1M -$35.4M -$38.0M -$38.0M — —

3. RCEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

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Is RCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Avita Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: RCEL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $516.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RCEL ranks #506 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCEL compare to SENS and ANGO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), RCEL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 82.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SENS (Senseonics Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $515.5M) and ANGO (AngioDynamics Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.4%, cap $519.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCEL?

Per RCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001762303), Avita Medical Inc. generated $71.6M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$48.6M in net income, and -$32.2M in free cash flow against $56.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCEL last traded at $16.71 (+1.27% on volume of 312,972 shares), positioning the stock +36.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.21) and +155.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.55). Across its 52-week range of $3.22 to $16.90, RCEL sits at the 98.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.62 to $18.80).

RCEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is RCEL stock moving today?

Why RCEL Stock advanced +1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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