Stock Ratings / Health Care / RCEL / financials

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Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$16.71 +1.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $516.8M

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RCEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How RCEL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $50.1M

FY24

Rev $64.3M

FY25

Rev $71.6M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$71.6M	82.1%	-59.4%	-$48.6M	-$32.2M	-45%
FY 2024	$64.3M	85.8%	-80%	-$61.8M	-$58.1M	-45%
FY 2023	$50.1M	82.1%	-80%	-$35.4M	-$38.0M	-35%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RCEL)

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RCEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +286.81%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $16.54H $16.71L $15.24C $16.71VOL 596.6K

RES: $14.33SUP: $5.55SMA50: $12.21SMA200: $6.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RCEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RCEL Butterfly Map → + Track RCEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RCEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RCEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RCEL)

Health Care Rank #506 of 1016 ⚔️ SENS vs RCEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RCEL vs. SENS, ANGO, DCTH, SGHT)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) ranks #506 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #442 by equity capitalization ($516.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCEL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DCTH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.8% ROIC and 86.2% gross margin. DCTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RCEL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RCEL ACTIVE Avita Medical Inc.	D	44/100	—	82.1%	-35.0%	+1.27%	$516.8M	Benchmark Subject
SENS Senseonics Holdings Inc.	D-	38/100	—	44.7%	-35.0%	+4.39%	$515.5M	/sens-vs-rcel →
ANGO AngioDynamics Inc.	D	50/100	—	54.6%	-23.4%	+1.81%	$519.4M	/ango-vs-rcel →
DCTH Delcath Systems Inc.	D+	57/100	—	86.2%	0.8%	-1.48%	$508.0M	/dcth-vs-rcel →
SGHT Sight Sciences Inc.	D-	38/100	—	86.2%	-35.0%	+3.57%	$527.2M	/sght-vs-rcel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001762303

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avita Medical Inc. (RCEL) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $64.3M , and +42.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$48.6M, operating cash flow of -$31.2M, and free cash flow of -$32.2M (+44.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, RCEL closed FY2025 with $56.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$71.6M	-$48.6M	-$31.2M	-$32.2M	$56.4M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$64.3M	-$61.8M	-$48.9M	-$58.1M	$79.7M	$42.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$50.1M	-$35.4M	-$38.0M	-$38.0M	—	—

3. RCEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Avita Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: RCEL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (+1.27% 1D, market cap $516.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, RCEL ranks #506 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RCEL compare to SENS and ANGO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), RCEL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 82.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SENS (Senseonics Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $515.5M) and ANGO (AngioDynamics Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.4%, cap $519.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RCEL?

Per RCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001762303), Avita Medical Inc. generated $71.6M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$48.6M in net income, and -$32.2M in free cash flow against $56.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RCEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RCEL last traded at $16.71 (+1.27% on volume of 312,972 shares), positioning the stock +36.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.21) and +155.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.55). Across its 52-week range of $3.22 to $16.90, RCEL sits at the 98.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.62 to $18.80).