MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why PTRN Stock advanced +1.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.89 +1.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.96
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $3.00B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.96 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PTRN SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$18.42-6.4% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$17.24-6.1% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$16.19+4.3% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$16.89+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.65) or 200D SMA ($17.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.80) toward Bear Floor ($13.85).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PTRN Stock advanced +1.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) advanced +1.08% to $16.89, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8). High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $29.8) with RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $16.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 43.6% gross margin and $78.9M annual free cash flow.
Live PTRN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PTRN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.39%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $16.34H $16.89L $16.15C $16.89VOL 1.26M
RES: $16.85SUP: $14.05SMA50: $18.65SMA200: $17.51
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #174 of 1011
⚔️ GCT vs PTRN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. GCT, CNXN, NSIT, RVLV)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #363 by equity capitalization ($3.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PTRN at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTRN
ACTIVE
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) | B- | 70/100 | — | 43.6% | 6.9% | +1.08% | $3.00B | Benchmark Subject |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) | B | 75/100 | 15.8x | 23.3% | 85.0% | -0.02% | $2.16B | /gct-vs-ptrn → |
| CNXN PC Connection Inc. | C | 62/100 | 25.8x | 18.8% | 10.9% | -1.02% | $2.16B | /cnxn-vs-ptrn → |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 33.3x | 21.4% | 6.0% | +0.41% | $5.24B | /nsit-vs-ptrn → |
| RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) | B+ | 80/100 | 26.6x | 53.5% | 26.6% | +2.21% | $1.64B | /rvlv-vs-ptrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.50B | $16.2M | $99.4M | $78.9M | $947.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.80B | $67.9M | $70.3M | $49.9M | $664.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.37B | $41.3M | $41.5M | $41.5M | — | — |
3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $16.89 (+1.08% 1D, market cap $3.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PTRN compare to GCT and CNXN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.16B) and CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?
Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PTRN last traded at $16.89 (+1.08% on volume of 848,152 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.65) and -3.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.51). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($15.25 to $18.53).
PTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PTRN stock moving today?
Why PTRN Stock advanced +1.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.