Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PTRN / earnings

GCT (75) CNXN (62) NSIT (60) RVLV (80) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.7% Move

$16.89 +1.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.96

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.00B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.96 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PTRN SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.2% FCF Margin ($78.9M FCF) & 43.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$18.42-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$17.24-6.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$16.19+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$16.89+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PTRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, PTRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.65) or 200D SMA ($17.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.80) toward Bear Floor ($13.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PTRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.7% Swing Band

±$1.64 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PTRN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 39.3%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.50B	$16.2M	$78.9M	43.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.80B	$67.9M	$49.9M	43.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$41.3M	$41.5M	43.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PTRN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PTRN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.39%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $16.34H $16.89L $16.15C $16.89VOL 1.26M

RES: $16.85SUP: $14.05SMA50: $18.65SMA200: $17.51

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTRN Butterfly Map → + Track PTRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #174 of 1011 ⚔️ GCT vs PTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTRN vs. GCT, CNXN, NSIT, RVLV)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #363 by equity capitalization ($3.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PTRN at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PTRN ACTIVE Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	B-	70/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+1.08%	$3.00B	Benchmark Subject
GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	B	75/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-0.02%	$2.16B	/gct-vs-ptrn →
CNXN PC Connection Inc.	C	62/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-1.02%	$2.16B	/cnxn-vs-ptrn →
NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc.	C-	60/100	33.3x	21.4%	6.0%	+0.41%	$5.24B	/nsit-vs-ptrn →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	B+	80/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	+2.21%	$1.64B	/rvlv-vs-ptrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.50B (+39.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +83.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.2M, operating cash flow of $99.4M, and free cash flow of $78.9M (+58.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTRN closed FY2025 with $947.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.50B	$16.2M	$99.4M	$78.9M	$947.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.80B	$67.9M	$70.3M	$49.9M	$664.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	$41.3M	$41.5M	$41.5M	—	—

3. PTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (NASDAQ: PTRN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $16.89 (+1.08% 1D, market cap $3.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTRN ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTRN compare to GCT and CNXN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), PTRN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.16B) and CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTRN?

Per PTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811935), Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) generated $2.50B in revenue (+39.3% YoY), $16.2M in net income, and $78.9M in free cash flow against $947.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTRN last traded at $16.89 (+1.08% on volume of 848,152 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.65) and -3.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.51). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $29.80, PTRN sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($15.25 to $18.53).

PTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PTRN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PTRN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.7% event move for PTRN, spanning a range between $15.25 and $18.53.

Direct Sub-Reports: PTRN RQD Cockpit PTRN 12M Forecast PTRN Earnings & Move PTRN Dividends & DRIP PTRN Insiders & 13F PTRN Whale Options PTRN Profit Sankey PTRN News & Why