Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Capital intensity & 6% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
While PTLO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.20) and Max Pain ($5.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) surged +10.96% to $4.96, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($3.29 – $6.69). Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after reports pointed to persistent traffic headwinds, sluggish sales growth, and mounting executive pessimism ahead of quarterly earnings. According to Morningstar, quick
Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) could be a great choice for investors looking to buy stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices. It is one of the several stocks that made it throug
Restaurants increase convenience and give many people a place to unwind. Still, their demand can ebb and flow with the broader economy because consumers can always cook meals at home when times are tough. This makes spen
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTLO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) ranks #731 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #625 by equity capitalization ($376.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LOCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PTLO at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTLO
ACTIVE
Portillo's Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | 17.9x | — | 4.9% | +10.96% | $376.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -1.9% | +6.59% | $424.4M | /krus-vs-ptlo → |
| DIN Dine Brands Global Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 26.0x | 40.9% | — | +1.38% | $445.1M | /din-vs-ptlo → |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 17.7x | — | 11.7% | +2.40% | $467.8M | /loco-vs-ptlo → |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 85.7% | 4.3% | +5.45% | $283.2M | /play-vs-ptlo → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) reported GAAP revenue of $732.1M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $710.6M , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $21.1M, operating cash flow of $71.9M, and free cash flow of -$18.5M (-288.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTLO closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $238.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.70, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $732.1M | $21.1M | $71.9M | -$18.5M | $1.61B | $238.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $710.6M | $35.1M | $98.0M | $9.8M | $1.50B | $275.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $679.9M | $24.8M | $70.8M | $70.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTLO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.96 (+10.96% 1D, market cap $376.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTLO ranks #731 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PTLO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.4M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $445.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).
Per PTLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001871509), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) generated $732.1M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $21.1M in net income, and -$18.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $238.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
PTLO last traded at $4.96 (+10.96% on volume of 2,387,673 shares), positioning the stock +18.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.20) and +2.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.29 to $6.69, PTLO sits at the 49.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.34 to $5.58).
Why PTLO Stock surged +10.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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