Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PTLO / forecast

KRUS (36) DIN (61) LOCO (66) PLAY (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.96 +10.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $376.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05 (+1.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PTLO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$4.02+15.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$4.66-9.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$4.21+17.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.96-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PTLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PTLO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.20) and Max Pain ($5.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PTLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PTLO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.96: 2016.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.66

$7,379

$-2,621 (-26.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.69

$9,456

$-544 (-5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.02

$14,153

+$4,153 (+41.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$5	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$4	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTLO)

✓Walkthrough of PTLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PTLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.64%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $4.96H $5.10L $4.84C $4.96VOL 1.79M

RES: $5.50SUP: $2.78SMA50: $4.20SMA200: $4.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTLO Butterfly Map → + Track PTLO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTLO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #731 of 1011 ⚔️ KRUS vs PTLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTLO vs. KRUS, DIN, LOCO, PLAY)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) ranks #731 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #625 by equity capitalization ($376.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LOCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with PTLO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PTLO ACTIVE Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	+10.96%	$376.7M	Benchmark Subject
KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	—	-1.9%	+6.59%	$424.4M	/krus-vs-ptlo →
DIN Dine Brands Global Inc.	C-	61/100	26.0x	40.9%	—	+1.38%	$445.1M	/din-vs-ptlo →
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	17.7x	—	11.7%	+2.40%	$467.8M	/loco-vs-ptlo →
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	D-	42/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	+5.45%	$283.2M	/play-vs-ptlo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001871509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) reported GAAP revenue of $732.1M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $710.6M , and +7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $21.1M, operating cash flow of $71.9M, and free cash flow of -$18.5M (-288.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTLO closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $238.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.70, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$732.1M	$21.1M	$71.9M	-$18.5M	$1.61B	$238.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$710.6M	$35.1M	$98.0M	$9.8M	$1.50B	$275.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$679.9M	$24.8M	$70.8M	$70.8M	—	—

3. PTLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTLO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.96 (+10.96% 1D, market cap $376.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTLO ranks #731 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PTLO compare to KRUS and DIN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PTLO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.4M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $445.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTLO?

Per PTLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001871509), Portillo's Inc. (Class A) generated $732.1M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $21.1M in net income, and -$18.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $238.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PTLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTLO last traded at $4.96 (+10.96% on volume of 2,387,673 shares), positioning the stock +18.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.20) and +2.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.29 to $6.69, PTLO sits at the 49.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.34 to $5.58).

PTLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PTLO's 12-month stock price target?

Portillo's Inc. (Class A) (PTLO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.69 (-5.4% from $4.96), with a bull-case target of $7.02 and a bear-case floor of $3.66.

Is PTLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PTLO D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: PTLO RQD Cockpit PTLO 12M Forecast PTLO Earnings & Move PTLO Dividends & DRIP PTLO Insiders & 13F PTLO Whale Options PTLO Profit Sankey PTLO News & Why