Stock Ratings / Industrials / POWW / insiders

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Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.38 -0.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.37

Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $276.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.37 (-0.27%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 15.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for POWW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY POWW SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.1% FCF Margin ($7.7M FCF) & 87.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.23-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.18+12.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.46-3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.38-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a POWW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While POWW currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.24) and Max Pain ($2.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $POWW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “POWW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

POWW Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (POWW)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on POWW. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring POWW)

✓Walkthrough of POWW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

POWW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.24%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $2.37H $2.39L $2.35C $2.38VOL 385.9K

RES: $2.53SUP: $2.13SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $2.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

POWW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 POWW Butterfly Map → + Track POWW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on POWW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for POWW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for POWW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (POWW)

Industrials Rank #403 of 485 ⚔️ RGR vs POWW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (POWW vs. RGR, SWBI, WRAP, NPK)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) ranks #403 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #330 by equity capitalization ($276.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPK leads on earnings valuation at 32.7x trailing P/E, while NPK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with POWW at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
POWW ACTIVE Outdoor Holding Company	D-	37/100	—	87.2%	-3.0%	-0.42%	$276.2M	Benchmark Subject
RGR Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.	D	49/100	—	14.9%	-3.7%	-1.31%	$731.5M	/rgr-vs-poww →
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.	C+	67/100	39.8x	26.9%	6.7%	-1.66%	$735.4M	/swbi-vs-poww →
WRAP Wrap Technologies Inc.	E	31/100	—	57.8%	-35.0%	-0.81%	$76.3M	/wrap-vs-poww →
NPK National Presto Industries Inc.	D+	53/100	32.7x	16.0%	8.1%	+0.66%	$1.08B	/npk-vs-poww →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001015383

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) reported GAAP revenue of $51.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.4M , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.5M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, POWW closed FY2025 with $271.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.13, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$51.1M	-$3.5M	—	—	$271.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$49.4M	-$130.8M	—	—	$355.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$53.9M	-$16.6M	$32.6M	$32.6M	—	—

3. POWW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is POWW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Outdoor Holding Company (NASDAQ: POWW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.38 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $276.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, POWW ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

How does POWW compare to RGR and SWBI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), POWW carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.2%, and ROIC of -3.0%. By comparison, RGR (Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $731.5M) and SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 39.8x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $735.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPK leads on earnings multiple (32.7x) while NPK leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POWW?

Per POWW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001015383), Outdoor Holding Company generated $51.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$3.5M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $271.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is POWW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

POWW last traded at $2.38 (-0.42% on volume of 301,110 shares), positioning the stock +6.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and +12.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.11). Across its 52-week range of $1.55 to $2.67, POWW sits at the 74.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($2.19 to $2.57).

POWW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are POWW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies POWW leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: POWW RQD Cockpit POWW 12M Forecast POWW Earnings & Move POWW Dividends & DRIP POWW Insiders & 13F POWW Whale Options POWW Profit Sankey POWW News & Why